← Smart money
0x92a5…ecf7
SharpEdge
+15.1pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
97% @ 82.1¢
Brier
0.027
Resolved
72
Avg size
$38
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +10% | 3 |
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
67% hit · 2/3| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | No | $205 | 15.7¢ | Lost |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | No | $428 | 77.7¢ | Won |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | Yes | $2.1k | 85.4¢ | Won |
- No$205 @ 15.7¢
- No$428 @ 77.7¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 85.4¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Tech | No | $499 | 89.6¢ |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $287 | 86.9¢ |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | Tech | No | $37 | 47.0¢ |
- No$499 @ 89.6¢
- No$287 @ 86.9¢
- No$37 @ 47.0¢