0x9260…311c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9260746aeb3133b7984fb29c00b41955f4da311c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.5pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

65% @ 50.9¢

Brier

0.133

Resolved

237

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (18/37)	-3%	37
Politics	73% (8/11)	+40%	11
Sports	40% (2/5)	+106%	5

Other37 bets
Hit rate
49% (18/37)
ROI
-3%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+40%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+106%

Track record

53% hit · 28/53

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	$1	84.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$16	39.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$20	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	$2	79.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	$21	41.0¢	Lost
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	$16	36.5¢	Lost
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	$34	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	$1	61.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	$1	49.0¢	Lost
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	$6	25.0¢	Won
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	No	$9	58.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?	No	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	$1	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$11	44.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Won
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?	No	$16	51.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?	No	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?	No	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$13	48.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?	Yes	$2	85.8¢	Won
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	$2	75.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$4	83.0¢	Lost
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	$3	24.5¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	No	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?	No	$1	47.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	No	$20	26.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 24?	No	$1	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	70.0¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	$16	49.0¢	Won
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	$11	38.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 24?	No	$2	88.0¢	Won
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1	11.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?	No	$5	89.0¢	Won
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$23	82.8¢	Won
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-05-12?	No	$4	80.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 25?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 21?	No	$1	83.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$24	69.4¢	Won
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	$29	82.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	$2	77.5¢	Lost
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$20	55.4¢	Won

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 84.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$16 @ 39.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$20 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Lost
Yes$21 @ 41.0¢
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Won
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$16 @ 36.5¢
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudLost
Jenson Brooksby$34 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?Won
No$1 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikWon
Jakub Mensik$6 @ 25.0¢
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?Won
No$9 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?Won
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
No$1 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$11 @ 44.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?Won
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?Won
No$16 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?Lost
No$1 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?Won
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$13 @ 48.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?Won
Yes$2 @ 85.8¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?Lost
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$4 @ 83.0¢
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano NavoneWon
Mariano Navone$3 @ 24.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?Lost
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$1 @ 47.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Lost
No$20 @ 26.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 24?Won
No$1 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 70.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsLost
KT Rolster$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
No$16 @ 49.0¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Lost
No$11 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 24?Won
No$2 @ 88.0¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?Won
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
Yes$23 @ 82.8¢
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-05-12?Lost
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 25?Won
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 21?Won
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
Yes$24 @ 69.4¢
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
No$29 @ 82.5¢
Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?Lost
No$2 @ 77.5¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
No$20 @ 55.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	43.8¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Politics	Yes	$11	65.9¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$11	38.6¢
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	—	Yes	$8	38.0¢
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Politics	No	$5	73.8¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$2	76.0¢
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	Yes	$2	77.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	40.0¢
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	—	Yes	$2	54.0¢
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	—	Yes	$1	21.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osaka	—	Elsa Jacquemot	$1	14.0¢
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	—	No	$1	77.0¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	No	$1	76.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 43.8¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
Yes$11 @ 65.9¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$11 @ 38.6¢
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?—
Yes$8 @ 38.0¢
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
No$5 @ 73.8¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$2 @ 76.0¢
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
Yes$2 @ 77.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?—
Yes$2 @ 54.0¢
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?—
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osaka—
Elsa Jacquemot$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?—
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
No$1 @ 76.0¢