0x9208…d345

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9208b06c0368b3e2122f183f316e9d3fba2cd345
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+10.2pp

ROI

+79%

Win rate

20% @ 10.2¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	22% (8/36)	+72%	36
Politics	9% (1/11)	+210%	11
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other36 bets
Hit rate
22% (8/36)
ROI
+72%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
9% (1/11)
ROI
+210%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

18% hit · 9/49

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18?	Yes	$3	1.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	Yes	$2	6.9¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $120 in February?	Yes	$21	46.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?	Yes	$9	20.2¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	$3k	$10	40.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?	Yes	$3	4.8¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?	Yes	$4	10.1¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?	Yes	$25	49.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.8¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $130 in February?	Yes	$10	27.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	$2	9.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?	Yes	$20	16.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	$3	2.8¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	Yes	$2	5.2¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?	Yes	$3	4.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?	Yes	$15	2.4¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	$5	13.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 15?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	Yes	$10	4.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?	Yes	$2	4.6¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?	Yes	$5	20.2¢	Lost
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$3	2.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	8.8¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	$2	2.8¢	Lost

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?Lost
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Will Solana reach $120 in February?Lost
Yes$21 @ 46.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?Won
Yes$9 @ 20.2¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?Lost
$3k$10 @ 40.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Won
Yes$4 @ 10.1¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Solana reach $130 in February?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?Lost
Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Won
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?Lost
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Won
Yes$3 @ 4.8¢
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.4¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Won
Yes$2 @ 4.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.2¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.3¢
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	—	Up	$31	19.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	—	Up	$26	2.5¢
Will Solana reach $120 in February?	—	Yes	$21	46.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	—	Yes	$20	20.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?	—	Yes	$20	16.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	—	Up	$15	14.1¢
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?	—	Yes	$15	2.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	—	Yes	$10	40.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	—	$3k	$10	40.8¢
Will Solana reach $130 in February?	—	Yes	$10	27.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	—	Yes	$10	21.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	8.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?	—	Yes	$10	12.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	5.8¢
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	—	Up	$10	4.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	—	Up	$9	8.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	—	Down	$8	18.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	—	Down	$7	6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	—	Down	$7	5.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	—	Down	$7	4.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Crypto	Down	$6	0.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	—	Yes	$6	2.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	—	Up	$5	5.0¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	29.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$5	28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	—	Up	$5	27.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?	—	Yes	$5	20.2¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$5	13.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	—	Up	$5	4.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	—	Down	$4	23.4¢

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET—
Up$31 @ 19.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET—
Up$26 @ 2.5¢
Will Solana reach $120 in February?—
Yes$21 @ 46.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?—
Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET—
Up$15 @ 14.1¢
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?—
Yes$15 @ 2.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?—
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?—
$3k$10 @ 40.8¢
Will Solana reach $130 in February?—
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?—
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 8.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?—
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET—
Up$10 @ 4.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET—
Up$9 @ 8.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET—
Down$8 @ 18.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET—
Down$7 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET—
Down$7 @ 5.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET—
Down$7 @ 4.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCrypto
Down$6 @ 0.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?—
Yes$6 @ 2.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET—
Up$5 @ 5.0¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 29.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET—
Up$5 @ 27.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?—
Yes$5 @ 20.2¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET—
Up$5 @ 4.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET—
Down$4 @ 23.4¢