← Smart money
0x91f4…d093
SharpEdge
+4.4pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
26% @ 21.7¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
456
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 32% (36/113) | -20% | 113 |
| Other | 30% (28/93) | +63% | 93 |
| Politics | 15% (2/13) | -35% | 13 |
| Sports | 0% (0/7) | -100% | 7 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +141% | 3 |
- Science113 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (36/113)
- ROI
- -20%
- Other93 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (28/93)
- ROI
- +63%
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- -35%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/7)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +141%
Track record
30% hit · 68/229- Yes$3 @ 26.5¢
- No$23 @ 77.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 22.0¢
- No$14 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 25.6¢
- No$5 @ 68.0¢
- No$4 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- No$5 @ 67.0¢
- No$13 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
- No$2 @ 67.0¢
- No$47 @ 58.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.8¢
- No$46 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- No$5 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
- No$5 @ 83.0¢
- No$8 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$21 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.7¢
- No$5 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- No$4 @ 61.0¢
- No$4 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 13? | — | Yes | $16 | 7.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13? | — | Yes | $13 | 4.5¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13? | — | Yes | $12 | 19.3¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 13? | — | Yes | $11 | 23.8¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13? | — | Yes | $10 | 49.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13? | — | Yes | $10 | 49.0¢ |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 26.7¢ |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 3.6¢ |
| Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 4.1¢ |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 8.8¢ |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 16.2¢ |
- Yes$16 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.2¢