0x91a7…c755

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x91a73fcf7547627637a81cda0f696af821fec755
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-6.9pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

27% @ 33.7¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

373

Avg size

$43

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (40/152)	+9%	152
Politics	64% (7/11)	+15%	11
Sports	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+26%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+35%	1

Other152 bets
Hit rate
26% (40/152)
ROI
+9%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
+15%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+26%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+35%

Track record

29% hit · 50/173

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	$3	2.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	$16	32.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	$3	8.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	$25	82.0¢	Lost
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	$88	28.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	$12	10.7¢	Lost
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$13	7.0¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	$9	45.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	Yes	$45	10.3¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$162	81.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	No	$40	68.0¢	Lost
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?	No	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Won
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?	No	$9	47.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	Yes	$198	61.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	Yes	$14	9.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$2	38.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?	Yes	$55	69.0¢	Lost
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$254	33.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	$141	88.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$6	5.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	$13	9.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?	Yes	$15	4.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Brazil" this week? (November 17 – 23)	No	$12	56.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 1?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETLost
Up$3 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 12.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 2.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETLost
Up$3 @ 2.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETLost
Down$16 @ 32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETLost
Up$3 @ 8.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 0.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 4.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETLost
Up$3 @ 7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 13.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETLost
Up$25 @ 82.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Lost
No$88 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETLost
Down$2 @ 1.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETLost
Down$12 @ 10.7¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Lost
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Lost
Yes$13 @ 7.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Won
No$9 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Lost
Yes$45 @ 10.3¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
No$162 @ 81.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 49.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Lost
No$40 @ 68.0¢
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?Lost
No$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?Won
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?Lost
No$9 @ 47.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Lost
Yes$198 @ 61.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Lost
Yes$14 @ 9.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Lost
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Lost
Yes$55 @ 69.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$254 @ 33.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Won
No$141 @ 88.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Lost
No$6 @ 5.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$13 @ 9.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.0¢
Will Trump say "Brazil" this week? (November 17 – 23)Won
No$12 @ 56.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	—	No	$201	67.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$88	28.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	—	Yes	$30	60.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	—	Up	$25	82.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Crypto	Down	$16	32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	—	Down	$12	10.7¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	—	Yes	$9	23.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$5	49.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	5.8¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$5	23.0¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Politics	No	$4	1.0¢
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	—	No	$4	0.1¢
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	—	No	$3	17.0¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	—	Yes	$3	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	—	Up	$3	2.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	—	Up	$3	6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	—	Up	$3	8.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	—	Up	$3	7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	—	Down	$2	5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	—	Down	$2	12.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	—	Down	$2	6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	—	Down	$2	1.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	—	Up	$1	5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	—	Down	$1	5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	—	Up	$1	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	—	Up	$1	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	—	Up	$1	4.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	—	Down	$1	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	—	Down	$1	13.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	—	Up	$1	11.0¢

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?—
No$201 @ 67.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Tech
No$88 @ 28.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?—
Yes$30 @ 60.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET—
Up$25 @ 82.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto
Down$16 @ 32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET—
Down$12 @ 10.7¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?—
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
No$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?—
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?—
No$3 @ 17.0¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?—
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET—
Up$3 @ 2.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET—
Up$3 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET—
Up$3 @ 8.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET—
Up$3 @ 7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET—
Down$2 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET—
Down$2 @ 12.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET—
Down$2 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET—
Down$2 @ 1.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET—
Up$1 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET—
Down$1 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET—
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET—
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET—
Up$1 @ 4.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET—
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET—
Down$1 @ 13.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET—
Up$1 @ 11.0¢