← Smart money
0x919d…60e1
ProfitableEdge
+2.0pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
44% @ 42.0¢
Brier
0.157
Resolved
5503
Avg size
$96
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (458/952) | +5% | 952 |
| Politics | 56% (42/75) | +1% | 75 |
| Geopolitics | 35% (7/20) | -39% | 20 |
| Crypto | 67% (4/6) | +10% | 6 |
| Tech | 60% (3/5) | +22% | 5 |
| Sports | 20% (1/5) | -72% | 5 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -56% | 2 |
- Other952 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (458/952)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics75 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (42/75)
- ROI
- +1%
- Geopolitics20 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (7/20)
- ROI
- -39%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +10%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +22%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -72%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -56%
Track record
48% hit · 516/1065- EDward Gaming$385 @ 55.0¢
- JD Gaming$407 @ 58.1¢
- Astralis$77 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.5¢
- No$51 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$234 @ 58.5¢
- No$447 @ 89.4¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$681 @ 75.7¢
- Yes$87 @ 14.5¢
- O/U 53.5LostOver$425 @ 47.2¢
- Team Falcons$56 @ 36.9¢
- Hurricanes$305 @ 61.0¢
- paiN Gaming$150 @ 30.0¢
- Jazz$235 @ 47.0¢
- No$140 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$131 @ 7.7¢
- No$300 @ 75.0¢
- 76ers$456 @ 57.0¢
- Imperial$184 @ 46.0¢
- T1$418 @ 38.0¢
- Canadiens$721 @ 53.4¢
- Stars$26 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$176 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
- NIP$106 @ 53.0¢
- No$319 @ 80.2¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 64.6¢
- TheMongolz$558 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
- Xtreme Gaming$385 @ 55.0¢
- No$312 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 4.0¢
- GamerLegion$1.6k @ 79.0¢
- No$506 @ 84.3¢
- Borges$170 @ 34.0¢
- No$288 @ 72.0¢
- No$52 @ 13.0¢
- No$175 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 4.3¢
- Team Heretics$93 @ 18.6¢
- Astralis$76 @ 38.0¢
- No$645 @ 70.2¢
- No$432 @ 54.0¢
- 1win$84 @ 42.0¢
- Magic$328 @ 65.6¢
- No$246 @ 41.0¢
- Rockets$84 @ 41.9¢
- Yes$160 @ 13.3¢
- No$272 @ 67.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$5.1k @ 94.9¢
- No$4.8k @ 91.3¢
- No$4.5k @ 95.1¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 78.5¢
- No$3.3k @ 75.8¢
- No$2.9k @ 83.7¢
- No$2.8k @ 74.7¢
- No$2.5k @ 93.7¢
- No$2.3k @ 90.1¢
- No$1.7k @ 63.5¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 77.0¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 87.4¢
- No$1.4k @ 85.4¢
- No$1.4k @ 90.3¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 58.6¢
- No$1.2k @ 55.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 88.7¢
- No$1.0k @ 86.2¢
- No$923 @ 87.8¢
- Yes$921 @ 65.8¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$918 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$901 @ 81.9¢
- No$886 @ 73.8¢
- No$868 @ 86.8¢
- No$860 @ 86.0¢
- No$852 @ 71.0¢
- No$835 @ 95.8¢
- No$834 @ 89.6¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$810 @ 81.0¢