0x9199…dd2d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9199ba070c49a78d7b1eb029b5c03d0b2972dd2d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.0pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

38% @ 33.4¢

Brier

0.133

Resolved

5676

Avg size

$117

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (321/664)	+5%	664
Culture	50% (8/16)	-0%	16

Other664 bets
Hit rate
48% (321/664)
ROI
+5%
Culture16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
-0%

Track record

48% hit · 329/680

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	$3.7k	65.8¢	Won
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	No	$650	65.0¢	Won
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?	No	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?	Yes	$43	63.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?	Yes	$235	10.2¢	Lost
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?	No	$615	74.0¢	Won
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?	Yes	$1.7k	24.8¢	Lost
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	No	$1.6k	86.0¢	Won
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?	No	$2.4k	59.5¢	Lost
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	$141	15.1¢	Lost
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	No	$418	83.6¢	Won
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?	No	$269	69.8¢	Won
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?	Yes	$13	10.0¢	Lost
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	$1.5k	50.0¢	Lost
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	Yes	$1.4k	70.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 40m+ views on day 1?	No	$161	80.3¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 40m+ views on day 1?	Yes	$200	2.0¢	Lost
Will "One Battle After Another" gross less than 115% of "Gabby's Dollhouse"?	No	$31	40.0¢	Won
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	$657	76.7¢	Won
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?	No	$1.5k	75.0¢	Lost
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?	Yes	$1.8k	81.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?	Yes	$796	18.0¢	Lost
Will "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?	Yes	$28	14.3¢	Lost
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?	Yes	$90	9.0¢	Lost
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$1.7k	43.6¢	Lost
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	$785	21.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1.7k	66.0¢	Won
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?	No	$3.4k	87.3¢	Won
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?	Yes	$1.9k	87.5¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?	Yes	$24	0.2¢	Lost
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	$209	25.9¢	Lost
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	Yes	$234	86.8¢	Won
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $70-75m opening weekend?	Yes	$354	11.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	Yes	$500	25.0¢	Lost
Will 'The Amateur' make less than $13m on its domestic opening weekend?	Yes	$165	7.2¢	Lost
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?	No	$9	70.0¢	Won
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	$76	80.0¢	Won
Will 'Sinners' gross more than $54m on opening weekend?	No	$2.0k	85.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20m views on day 1?	Yes	$327	5.0¢	Lost
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $64-73m?	Yes	$22	1.5¢	Lost
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?	Yes	$155	4.1¢	Lost
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?	No	$408	17.7¢	Lost
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?	Yes	$1.2k	81.5¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?	No	$4.9k	32.0¢	Lost
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?	Yes	$919	70.4¢	Won
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?	No	$2.4k	84.5¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	No	$306	67.5¢	Lost
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?	Yes	$97	7.5¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	Yes	$5.6k	81.6¢	Won
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?	Yes	$22	4.5¢	Lost

Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 65.8¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Won
No$650 @ 65.0¢
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?Won
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?Lost
Yes$43 @ 63.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?Lost
Yes$235 @ 10.2¢
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?Won
No$615 @ 74.0¢
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 24.8¢
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Won
No$1.6k @ 86.0¢
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?Lost
No$2.4k @ 59.5¢
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Lost
Yes$141 @ 15.1¢
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Won
No$418 @ 83.6¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?Won
No$269 @ 69.8¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?Lost
Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Lost
No$1.5k @ 50.0¢
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 70.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 40m+ views on day 1?Won
No$161 @ 80.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 40m+ views on day 1?Lost
Yes$200 @ 2.0¢
Will "One Battle After Another" gross less than 115% of "Gabby's Dollhouse"?Won
No$31 @ 40.0¢
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Won
Yes$657 @ 76.7¢
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?Lost
No$1.5k @ 75.0¢
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 81.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$796 @ 18.0¢
Will "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?Lost
Yes$28 @ 14.3¢
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?Lost
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Lost
No$1.7k @ 43.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Won
Yes$785 @ 21.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 66.0¢
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?Won
No$3.4k @ 87.3¢
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 87.5¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?Lost
Yes$24 @ 0.2¢
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?Lost
No$209 @ 25.9¢
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?Won
Yes$234 @ 86.8¢
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $70-75m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$354 @ 11.4¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$500 @ 25.0¢
Will 'The Amateur' make less than $13m on its domestic opening weekend?Lost
Yes$165 @ 7.2¢
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?Won
No$9 @ 70.0¢
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Won
No$76 @ 80.0¢
Will 'Sinners' gross more than $54m on opening weekend?Won
No$2.0k @ 85.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20m views on day 1?Lost
Yes$327 @ 5.0¢
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $64-73m?Lost
Yes$22 @ 1.5¢
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?Lost
Yes$155 @ 4.1¢
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?Lost
No$408 @ 17.7¢
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 81.5¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Lost
No$4.9k @ 32.0¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Won
Yes$919 @ 70.4¢
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?Won
No$2.4k @ 84.5¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Lost
No$306 @ 67.5¢
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?Lost
Yes$97 @ 7.5¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?Won
Yes$5.6k @ 81.6¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?Lost
Yes$22 @ 4.5¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?	Culture	No	$34	80.0¢

Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?Culture
No$34 @ 80.0¢