0x9173…bed3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9173d207a772a2cbbc84ce60e766ebca1e6fbed3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.6pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

47% @ 31.0¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

Avg size

$195

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (16/35)	+26%	35
Sports	50% (3/6)	+41%	6
Politics	33% (1/3)	-29%	3

Other35 bets
Hit rate
46% (16/35)
ROI
+26%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+41%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-29%

Track record

45% hit · 20/44

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	Yes	$35	34.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	$100	51.4¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$408	35.0¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$103	4.8¢	Lost
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	No	$309	22.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$717	49.1¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$95	19.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$102	24.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$88	44.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$1.0k	31.3¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$102	25.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$508	47.0¢	Won
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	$200	52.2¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$403	72.0¢	Won
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?	No	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	$305	41.7¢	Lost
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$409	15.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$24	1.8¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$335	67.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$508	44.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$150	1.5¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	58.6¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$113	20.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$408	33.2¢	Lost
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$100	5.0¢	Lost
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	$31	2.4¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$300	20.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$200	54.9¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$607	61.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$89	8.5¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$99	45.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	$113	15.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$304	52.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$202	62.0¢	Won
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$30	3.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$204	27.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	No	$306	29.7¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$102	29.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$414	30.5¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$102	20.0¢	Won
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$509	35.3¢	Won

Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?Lost
Yes$35 @ 34.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 51.4¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$408 @ 35.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$103 @ 4.8¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Lost
No$309 @ 22.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$717 @ 49.1¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$102 @ 24.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Won
Yes$88 @ 44.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 31.3¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 25.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$508 @ 47.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Won
No$200 @ 52.2¢
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Won
Yes$403 @ 72.0¢
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?Lost
No$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$305 @ 41.7¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$409 @ 15.5¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$24 @ 1.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$335 @ 67.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Won
Yes$508 @ 44.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$150 @ 1.5¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 58.6¢
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Won
Yes$113 @ 20.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$408 @ 33.2¢
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Lost
Yes$31 @ 2.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$300 @ 20.3¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 54.9¢
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$607 @ 61.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Won
Yes$89 @ 8.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$99 @ 45.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Won
No$113 @ 15.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$304 @ 52.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Won
Yes$202 @ 62.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$204 @ 27.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$306 @ 29.7¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$102 @ 29.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$414 @ 30.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$102 @ 20.0¢
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Won
Yes$509 @ 35.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$406	12.3¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$309	42.1¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Politics	No	$300	22.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	—	Up	$100	51.4¢
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	—	Yes	$35	34.9¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$30	2.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	—	Yes	$27	27.0¢
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$12	20.0¢
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5	26.0¢
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?	—	No	$5	5.0¢

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$406 @ 12.3¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$309 @ 42.1¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Politics
No$300 @ 22.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET—
Up$100 @ 51.4¢
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?—
Yes$35 @ 34.9¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$30 @ 2.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?—
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$12 @ 20.0¢
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?—
No$5 @ 5.0¢