← Smart money
0x9157…626b
SharpEdge
+11.0pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
89% @ 77.8¢
Brier
0.080
Resolved
133
Avg size
$451
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (9/12) | +17% | 12 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +17% | 6 |
| Business | 100% (5/5) | +25% | 5 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +39% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +21% | 1 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (9/12)
- ROI
- +17%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +17%
- Business5 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (5/5)
- ROI
- +25%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +39%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +21%
Track record
76% hit · 19/25- No$6.0k @ 80.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 82.2¢
- Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
- No$267 @ 74.3¢
- No$1.8k @ 87.9¢
- No$1.8k @ 88.5¢
- No$57 @ 55.0¢
- No$184 @ 73.6¢
- No$451 @ 89.8¢
- No$6.2k @ 87.1¢
- No$390 @ 77.3¢
- No$27.0k @ 82.8¢
- No$334 @ 66.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 87.3¢
- No$4.0k @ 82.5¢
- No$215 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 80.4¢
- No$164 @ 75.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 83.0¢
- No$28 @ 54.0¢
- No$36 @ 24.9¢
- No$2.6k @ 72.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 84.0¢
- No$220 @ 43.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $43.6k | 87.3¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $80 | 40.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $75 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $37 | 39.0¢ |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $32 | 87.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $3 | 14.0¢ |
- No$43.6k @ 87.3¢
- No$80 @ 40.0¢
- No$75 @ 75.0¢
- No$37 @ 39.0¢
- No$32 @ 87.0¢
- No$3 @ 14.0¢