← Smart money
0x9152…69a5
SharpEdge
+20.0pp
ROI
+32%
Win rate
94% @ 73.9¢
Brier
0.106
Resolved
49
Avg size
$60
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (4/6) | +36% | 6 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +36%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
Track record
71% hit · 5/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | $356 | 79.6¢ | Won |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | No | $15 | 81.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $755 | 76.0¢ | Won |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | $175 | 85.3¢ | Won |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | $511 | 88.3¢ | Won |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $1.1k | 66.0¢ | Won |
| Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases? | No | $32 | 63.0¢ | Lost |
- No$356 @ 79.6¢
- No$15 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$755 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$175 @ 85.3¢
- No$511 @ 88.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 66.0¢
- No$32 @ 63.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Politics | No | $1.3k | 88.0¢ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | Politics | No | $1.2k | 89.2¢ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $1.0k | 93.2¢ |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $992 | 90.4¢ |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $815 | 91.3¢ |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Politics | No | $647 | 92.4¢ |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $228 | 83.5¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $213 | 82.1¢ |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $188 | 94.0¢ |
| US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | Politics | No | $71 | 89.2¢ |
- No$1.3k @ 88.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 89.2¢
- No$1.0k @ 93.2¢
- No$992 @ 90.4¢
- No$815 @ 91.3¢
- No$647 @ 92.4¢
- No$228 @ 83.5¢
- No$213 @ 82.1¢
- No$188 @ 94.0¢
- No$71 @ 89.2¢