← Smart money
0x9144…406f
SharpEdge
+31.4pp
ROI
+58%
Win rate
97% @ 65.5¢
Brier
0.141
Resolved
66
Avg size
$121
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 88% (7/8) | +58% | 8 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +30% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 88% (7/8)
- ROI
- +58%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +30%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
82% hit · 9/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025? | No | $4 | 87.8¢ | Won |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | No | $4 | 77.0¢ | Won |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | No | $6 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | No | $5 | 85.0¢ | Lost |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | Yes | $4 | 85.0¢ | Won |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | Yes | $5 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $4.0k | 63.2¢ | Won |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | No | $5 | 85.7¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $4.0k | 63.2¢ | Won |
| Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | No | $6 | 79.4¢ | Won |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | $4 | 70.0¢ | Lost |
- No$4 @ 87.8¢
- No$4 @ 77.0¢
- No$6 @ 88.0¢
- No$5 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 63.2¢
- No$5 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 63.2¢
- No$6 @ 79.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Recent trades
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