← Smart money
0x912d…5f1a
ProfitableEdge
-11.0pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
58% @ 69.1¢
Brier
0.225
Resolved
437
Avg size
$89
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 59% (57/96) | +14% | 96 |
| Politics | 56% (28/50) | -9% | 50 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +22% | 1 |
- Sports96 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (57/96)
- ROI
- +14%
- Politics50 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (28/50)
- ROI
- -9%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +22%
Track record
58% hit · 86/148- FUT Esports$76 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
- B8$198 @ 66.0¢
- B8$440 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 95.1¢
- No$46 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$820 @ 82.0¢
- Team Falcons$73 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 37.0¢
- Vitality$1.6k @ 79.3¢
- Liquid$704 @ 88.0¢
- magic$80 @ 61.4¢
- Spirit$98 @ 65.8¢
- FURIA$173 @ 86.0¢
- 6666$167 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$311 @ 60.5¢
- FURIA$49 @ 48.0¢
- MOUZ$419 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 74.0¢
- MOUZ$33 @ 33.0¢
- No$220 @ 85.9¢
- BetBoom Team$42 @ 42.0¢
- Spirit$40 @ 53.0¢
- No$177 @ 83.3¢
- Team Falcons$138 @ 69.0¢
- Heroic$23 @ 45.0¢
- Spirit Academy$43 @ 43.0¢
- No$481 @ 80.2¢
- Team Falcons$405 @ 81.0¢
- Spirit$62 @ 41.3¢
- Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsWonSpirit Academy$52 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$382 @ 72.4¢
- JD Gaming$33 @ 15.0¢
- Team Nemesis$608 @ 86.0¢
- PARIVISION$1.9k @ 51.0¢
- FaZe$68 @ 67.0¢
- Spirit$153 @ 75.5¢
- No$190 @ 89.3¢
- Team Falcons$155 @ 77.0¢
- FURIA$8 @ 15.0¢
- Liquid$27 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$164 @ 52.8¢
- Spirit Academy$63 @ 63.0¢
- BetBoom Team$1.5k @ 75.0¢
- FURIA$241 @ 62.0¢
- Vitality$64 @ 63.0¢
- Team Falcons$204 @ 81.6¢
- Yes$247 @ 82.1¢
- Aurora Gaming$111 @ 74.0¢
- BetBoom Team$131 @ 65.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $249 | 83.0¢ |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | Sports | Vitality | $166 | 83.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $52 | 51.9¢ |
- No$249 @ 83.0¢
- Vitality$166 @ 83.0¢
- No$52 @ 51.9¢