← Smart money
0x909e…3153
SharpEdge
+25.8pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
97% @ 71.5¢
Brier
0.085
Resolved
37
Avg size
$66
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 80% (4/5) | +37% | 5 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +26% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (2/2) | +33% | 2 |
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +37%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +26%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
90% hit · 9/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | $18 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | Yes | $151 | 50.5¢ | Won |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address? | No | $2 | 4.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | $13 | 66.5¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | $304 | 84.3¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | $128 | 69.2¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Yes | $1.3k | 76.1¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $253 | 74.3¢ | Won |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | $26 | 86.9¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | Yes | $236 | 79.2¢ | Won |
- Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$151 @ 50.5¢
- No$2 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 66.5¢
- Yes$304 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$128 @ 69.2¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 76.1¢
- Yes$253 @ 74.3¢
- Yes$26 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$236 @ 79.2¢
Recent trades
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