0x9094…dcab

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9094c89f2567315d37e9fc78ac71722fbe2ddcab
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.0pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

49% @ 46.5¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

7699

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (505/971)	+4%	971
Politics	61% (25/41)	+28%	41
Sports	35% (7/20)	-86%	20
Geopolitics	90% (9/10)	+18%	10
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+15%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+9%	1

Other971 bets
Hit rate
52% (505/971)
ROI
+4%
Politics41 bets
Hit rate
61% (25/41)
ROI
+28%
Sports20 bets
Hit rate
35% (7/20)
ROI
-86%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
+18%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+15%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+9%

Track record

53% hit · 549/1045

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	$2	92.0¢	Won
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Lost
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	$13	66.2¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	$5	47.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	$21	50.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$8	53.7¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	Yes	$4	89.9¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Hawks	$60	47.8¢	Lost
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	45.6¢	Won
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5	Under	$10	55.1¢	Lost
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)	Rockets	$2	50.0¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?	No	$14	71.0¢	Won
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?	Yes	$63	52.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance	Team WE	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$139	33.7¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$67	68.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	No	$7	88.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$6	40.3¢	Won
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears	Baylor Bears	$2	54.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	Team Falcons	$23	37.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?	No	$2	24.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5	Over	$35	51.0¢	Lost
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5	Over	$116	45.0¢	Won
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?	No	$3	35.0¢	Lost
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Nuggets	$35	51.0¢	Lost
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	No	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$35	48.0¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	Movistar KOI	$7	68.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5	Over	$70	53.5¢	Won
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	$7	45.3¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5	Under	$5	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)	Florida Gators	$35	33.0¢	Lost
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5	Under	$1	45.0¢	Won
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)	Raptors	$74	40.5¢	Won
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)	Celtics	$118	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)	Clippers	$70	50.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?	No	$5	30.0¢	Won
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5	Under	$38	50.0¢	Won
Lakers vs. Magic	Magic	$35	41.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics	Celtics	$15	73.8¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics	Trail Blazers	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	$18	48.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$35	81.1¢	Won
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	52.0¢	Lost
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	$69	46.5¢	Won
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)	76ers	$4	46.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$85	26.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5	Over	$52	53.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$3	71.5¢	Won

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Won
Yes$2 @ 92.0¢
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Bilibili Gaming$13 @ 66.2¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
JD Gaming$5 @ 47.5¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerWon
Astralis$21 @ 50.6¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$8 @ 53.7¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Won
Yes$4 @ 89.9¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Lost
Hawks$60 @ 47.8¢
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Won
Over$2 @ 45.6¢
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$10 @ 55.1¢
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Lost
Rockets$2 @ 50.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Won
No$14 @ 71.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?Lost
Yes$63 @ 52.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceWon
Team WE$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
No$139 @ 33.7¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$67 @ 68.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
No$7 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 40.3¢
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor BearsLost
Baylor Bears$2 @ 54.0¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Lost
Team Falcons$23 @ 37.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?Won
No$2 @ 24.0¢
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Lost
Over$35 @ 51.0¢
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Won
Over$116 @ 45.0¢
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Lost
No$3 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Lost
Nuggets$35 @ 51.0¢
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?Lost
No$2 @ 30.0¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$35 @ 48.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
Movistar KOI$7 @ 68.0¢
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Won
Over$70 @ 53.5¢
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Lost
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club$7 @ 45.3¢
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Won
Under$5 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)Lost
Florida Gators$35 @ 33.0¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Won
Under$1 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Won
Raptors$74 @ 40.5¢
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Won
Celtics$118 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Lost
Clippers$70 @ 50.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?Won
No$5 @ 30.0¢
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5Won
Under$38 @ 50.0¢
Lakers vs. MagicLost
Magic$35 @ 41.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$15 @ 73.8¢
Trail Blazers vs. CelticsLost
Trail Blazers$1 @ 27.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lost
Rockets$18 @ 48.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
No$35 @ 81.1¢
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$2 @ 52.0¢
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Won
Over$69 @ 46.5¢
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Lost
76ers$4 @ 46.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
No$85 @ 26.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Won
Over$52 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$3 @ 71.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$28	88.0¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$24	7.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$15	30.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	No	$5	45.9¢
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Politics	No	$4	68.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	72.8¢
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.9¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	74.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1	64.0¢

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
No$28 @ 88.0¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$24 @ 7.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
No$5 @ 45.9¢
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 72.8¢
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$1 @ 64.0¢