← Smart money
0x9079…bf19
SharpEdge
+27.9pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
96% @ 68.6¢
Brier
0.098
Resolved
57
Avg size
$139
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (7/7) | +46% | 7 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -23% | 3 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +46%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -23%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
Track record
82% hit · 9/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? | Yes | $80 | 76.6¢ | Won |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? | Yes | $522 | 64.2¢ | Won |
| Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | Yes | $192 | 59.7¢ | Won |
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | $1.1k | 75.3¢ | Won |
| Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election? | Yes | $523 | 61.0¢ | Won |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $5 | 25.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $5 | 4.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? | Yes | $12 | 59.5¢ | Won |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1.1k | 70.0¢ | Won |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $4.3k | 84.4¢ | Won |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | Yes | $17 | 80.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$80 @ 76.6¢
- Yes$522 @ 64.2¢
- Yes$192 @ 59.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 75.3¢
- Yes$523 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 84.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
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