0x900e…a4d3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x900e3c7bc26b51dfd607cd152e8ffadbe11aa4d3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.4pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

84% @ 74.4¢

Brier

0.104

Resolved

1369

Avg size

$174

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (201/297)	+10%	297
Sports	61% (36/59)	+10%	59
Crypto	94% (15/16)	+18%	16
Politics	56% (5/9)	-67%	9
Science	25% (1/4)	-58%	4
Tech	50% (1/2)	-33%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-32%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+47%	1

Other297 bets
Hit rate
68% (201/297)
ROI
+10%
Sports59 bets
Hit rate
61% (36/59)
ROI
+10%
Crypto16 bets
Hit rate
94% (15/16)
ROI
+18%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-67%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-58%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-33%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-32%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+47%

Track record

67% hit · 261/390

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	No	$89	85.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$101	88.0¢	Won
Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?	No	$84	76.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	No	$87	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$28	55.0¢	Lost
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?	No	$25	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" or "Midnight Hammer" during Women's History Month event?	Yes	$25	49.0¢	Lost
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	$17	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?	No	$12	48.0¢	Won
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats	Villanova Wildcats	$535	46.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	No	$209	76.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$3.0k	87.1¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$15	51.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$75	23.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Football" during Tele-Rallies?	Yes	$13	51.0¢	Won
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	No	$59	54.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?	No	$874	82.0¢	Won
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	$3.1k	81.7¢	Won
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	No	$10	0.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	No	$166	73.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	No	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$12.4k	84.8¢	Won
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$19	74.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	No	$31	60.0¢	Won
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$51	23.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$252	72.0¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	$23	79.9¢	Won
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	72.0¢	Lost
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$15	65.0¢	Won
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	No	$71	71.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	No	$384	80.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$3.2k	85.4¢	Won
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	No	$171	84.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$36	64.5¢	Won
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?	No	$18	45.0¢	Lost
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?	Yes	$7	65.0¢	Won
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$26	12.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?	Yes	$37	62.0¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	No	$18	70.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?	No	$15	57.0¢	Won
Will Anthony Kennedy attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$25	50.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.9k	88.2¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?	No	$21	52.0¢	Lost
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$3	64.0¢	Won
Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 15 minutes late to the next press briefing?	No	$10	55.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "State of the Union" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$27	78.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?	No	$20	81.0¢	Lost
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	$41	77.8¢	Won

Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?Won
No$89 @ 85.0¢
Will England win on 2026-10-06?Won
Yes$101 @ 88.0¢
Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?Won
No$84 @ 76.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?Won
No$87 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Lost
Yes$28 @ 55.0¢
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Won
No$25 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" or "Midnight Hammer" during Women's History Month event?Lost
Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?Won
No$17 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Won
No$12 @ 48.0¢
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova WildcatsLost
Villanova Wildcats$535 @ 46.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Won
No$209 @ 76.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$3.0k @ 87.1¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$15 @ 51.0¢
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Lost
Yes$75 @ 23.0¢
Will Trump say "Football" during Tele-Rallies?Won
Yes$13 @ 51.0¢
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Won
No$59 @ 54.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?Won
No$874 @ 82.0¢
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Won
No$3.1k @ 81.7¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?Lost
No$10 @ 0.5¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Won
No$166 @ 73.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?Lost
No$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$12.4k @ 84.8¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 74.0¢
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?Won
No$31 @ 60.0¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
Yes$51 @ 23.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
No$252 @ 72.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Won
Yes$23 @ 79.9¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 72.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 65.0¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Won
No$71 @ 71.0¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Lost
No$384 @ 80.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$3.2k @ 85.4¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Won
No$171 @ 84.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$36 @ 64.5¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?Lost
No$18 @ 45.0¢
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?Won
Yes$7 @ 65.0¢
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Won
Yes$26 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?Won
Yes$37 @ 62.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Won
No$18 @ 70.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?Won
No$15 @ 57.0¢
Will Anthony Kennedy attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
No$25 @ 50.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1.9k @ 88.2¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Lost
No$21 @ 52.0¢
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Won
Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 15 minutes late to the next press briefing?Won
No$10 @ 55.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "State of the Union" on Truth Social this week?Won
Yes$27 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?Lost
No$20 @ 81.0¢
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Won
No$41 @ 77.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$1.5k	96.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$1.5k	98.1¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$199	96.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Sports	Yes	$103	98.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$99	91.0¢
Will Peru win on 2026-10-06?	Sports	No	$99	90.0¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$82	82.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	23.0¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Crypto
No$1.5k @ 96.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?Crypto
No$1.5k @ 98.1¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$199 @ 96.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?Sports
Yes$103 @ 98.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$99 @ 91.0¢
Will Peru win on 2026-10-06?Sports
No$99 @ 90.0¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢