0x8fed…a1f9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8feda380128930f5edf6025f247b12312fa6a1f9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.4pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

49% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

2400

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (286/606)	+6%	606
Sports	44% (37/84)	-1%	84
Politics	75% (58/77)	+26%	77
Geopolitics	67% (4/6)	+3%	6
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+10%	2
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other606 bets
Hit rate
47% (286/606)
ROI
+6%
Sports84 bets
Hit rate
44% (37/84)
ROI
-1%
Politics77 bets
Hit rate
75% (58/77)
ROI
+26%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+3%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+10%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 386/778

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$60	85.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	No	$10	52.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$21	37.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?	No	$19	66.0¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during Women's History Month event?	Yes	$1	70.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)	No	$6	38.6¢	Lost
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$41	33.5¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$51	40.0¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$32	46.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	$10	35.0¢	Lost
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	No	$30	52.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$10	24.0¢	Lost
Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	$20	43.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	No	$20	50.5¢	Won
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?	No	$20	46.5¢	Won
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	LYON	$50	19.1¢	Lost
Jets vs. Ducks	Jets	$10	64.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$20	86.0¢	Won
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?	No	$13	75.0¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?	No	$20	27.5¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$52	36.0¢	Lost
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	$4	0.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Memphis Roundtable?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	$61	52.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)	No	$20	22.0¢	Lost
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LYON	$26	17.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$50	71.0¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	$10	34.0¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$41	48.0¢	Won
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	Zverev	$10	39.0¢	Lost
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	$33	43.3¢	Won
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?	No	$45	84.8¢	Won
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	No	$20	62.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?	No	$43	28.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$50	72.0¢	Lost
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	$10	81.0¢	Won
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	50.5¢	Lost
U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19s	India Under-19s	$50	66.6¢	Won
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	Bangladesh	$10	41.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?	No	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	No	$50	74.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?	No	$20	87.5¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$29	41.4¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$43	71.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$50	53.4¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	$20	36.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$16	52.0¢	Won

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 85.1¢
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
No$10 @ 52.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
Yes$21 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?Won
No$19 @ 66.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during Women's History Month event?Won
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)Lost
No$6 @ 38.6¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$41 @ 33.5¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$51 @ 40.0¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadWon
Sunrisers Hyderabad$32 @ 46.8¢
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Lost
Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersLost
No$30 @ 52.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$10 @ 24.0¢
Ducks vs. OilersLost
Ducks$20 @ 43.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Won
No$20 @ 50.5¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?Won
No$20 @ 46.5¢
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)Lost
LYON$50 @ 19.1¢
Jets vs. DucksLost
Jets$10 @ 64.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
No$20 @ 86.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Won
No$13 @ 75.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?Lost
No$20 @ 27.5¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$52 @ 36.0¢
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State MountaineersLost
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks$4 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Memphis Roundtable?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Won
Yes$61 @ 52.7¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)Lost
No$20 @ 22.0¢
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
LYON$26 @ 17.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$50 @ 71.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Lost
No$10 @ 34.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$41 @ 48.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevLost
Zverev$10 @ 39.0¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Won
Yes$33 @ 43.3¢
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Won
No$45 @ 84.8¢
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Won
No$20 @ 62.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?Lost
No$43 @ 28.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
No$50 @ 72.0¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Won
No$10 @ 81.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$20 @ 50.5¢
U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19sWon
India Under-19s$50 @ 66.6¢
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New ZealandLost
Bangladesh$10 @ 41.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?Lost
No$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Won
No$50 @ 74.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 87.5¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Lost
Rockets$29 @ 41.4¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$43 @ 71.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$50 @ 53.4¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$20 @ 36.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$16 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$33	37.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$30	44.4¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Karmine Corp	$21	30.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$19	65.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$18	76.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	95.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	96.4¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$10	96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	93.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	92.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	94.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Geopolitics	No	$10	78.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$10	70.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	30.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	98.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$10	28.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	95.0¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$33 @ 37.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$30 @ 44.4¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Karmine Corp$21 @ 30.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics
No$19 @ 65.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$18 @ 76.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 95.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 96.4¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$10 @ 96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 93.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 92.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 94.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 30.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 98.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 95.0¢