0x8fe7…6c1f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8fe730b55cf3468c01a884cfcde79c2dfb4d6c1f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

54% @ 50.9¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

2772

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	51% (916/1797)	+7%	1797
Other	53% (688/1303)	+8%	1303
Science	65% (751/1155)	+3%	1155
Politics	66% (118/178)	+22%	178
Culture	58% (63/108)	+14%	108
Tech	63% (17/27)	+23%	27
Economy	50% (4/8)	+11%	8
Crypto	50% (4/8)	+8%	8
Geopolitics	57% (4/7)	+25%	7
Business	100% (1/1)	+2464%	1

Sports1797 bets
Hit rate
51% (916/1797)
ROI
+7%
Other1303 bets
Hit rate
53% (688/1303)
ROI
+8%
Science1155 bets
Hit rate
65% (751/1155)
ROI
+3%
Politics178 bets
Hit rate
66% (118/178)
ROI
+22%
Culture108 bets
Hit rate
58% (63/108)
ROI
+14%
Tech27 bets
Hit rate
63% (17/27)
ROI
+23%
Economy8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+11%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+8%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+25%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+2464%

Track record

56% hit · 2566/4592

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)	Hawks	$16	53.8¢	Lost
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)	Thunder	$13	43.0¢	Won
Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	$5	21.0¢	Lost
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?	Yes	$8	30.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	$67	47.5¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$6	61.0¢	Won
Spread: Texas Tech (-1.5)	Texas Tech	$5	69.0¢	Won
Will EC Juventude vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw?	No	$13	78.4¢	Lost
Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Giants	$4	38.0¢	Won
Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 48.5	Under	$7	71.0¢	Won
Tennessee State vs. Western Illinois	Tennessee State	$8	18.5¢	Lost
Titans vs. Giants	Giants	$179	66.5¢	Won
Titans vs. Giants	Titans	$24	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 10?	No	$6	71.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$3	52.0¢	Lost
Michigan vs. Minnesota	Michigan	$68	78.0¢	Lost
Michigan vs. Minnesota	Minnesota	$10	48.0¢	Won
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5	Over	$9	45.7¢	Won
Spread: UCF (-0.5)	Oklahoma State	$217	64.0¢	Won
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$5	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 29?	No	$26	83.3¢	Won
Spread: Texans (-1.5)	Texans	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	$17	61.8¢	Lost
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	$8	75.0¢	Won
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?	No	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	JD Gaming	$11	74.7¢	Won
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	Nongshim RedForce	$1	28.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)	Nemiga	$29	53.1¢	Won
Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 33.5	Under	$2	39.0¢	Won
Miami (FL) vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5	Over	$60	49.7¢	Won
Spread: Jets (-8.5)	Jets	$7	16.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)	MOUZ	$8	48.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)	Vitality	$2	36.0¢	Won
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	Chiefs	$21	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	No	$3	53.8¢	Lost
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)	Xtreme Gaming	$43	60.0¢	Won
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colts (-16.5)	Colts	$2	38.0¢	Won
Syracuse vs. UConn	Syracuse	$9	86.4¢	Won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	$4	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	$3	68.0¢	Won
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	$23	86.0¢	Won
Will Las Vegas Lights vs. San Antonio FC end in a draw?	No	$9	69.0¢	Won
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-10-09?	No	$7	53.0¢	Lost
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$10	35.8¢	Won
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	$17	26.7¢	Lost

Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Lost
Hawks$16 @ 53.8¢
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Won
Thunder$13 @ 43.0¢
Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-10-12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?Lost
Yes$8 @ 30.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesLost
Eagles$67 @ 47.5¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$6 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Texas Tech (-1.5)Won
Texas Tech$5 @ 69.0¢
Will EC Juventude vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw?Lost
No$13 @ 78.4¢
Spread: Giants (-3.5)Won
Giants$4 @ 38.0¢
Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 48.5Won
Under$7 @ 71.0¢
Tennessee State vs. Western IllinoisLost
Tennessee State$8 @ 18.5¢
Titans vs. GiantsWon
Giants$179 @ 66.5¢
Titans vs. GiantsLost
Titans$24 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 10?Won
No$6 @ 71.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$3 @ 52.0¢
Michigan vs. MinnesotaLost
Michigan$68 @ 78.0¢
Michigan vs. MinnesotaWon
Minnesota$10 @ 48.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsLost
Over$0 @ 4.0¢
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Won
Over$9 @ 45.7¢
Spread: UCF (-0.5)Won
Oklahoma State$217 @ 64.0¢
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Lost
No$5 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 29?Won
No$26 @ 83.3¢
Spread: Texans (-1.5)Lost
Texans$4 @ 37.0¢
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$17 @ 61.8¢
Bengals vs. DolphinsLost
Dolphins$1 @ 20.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerWon
MOUZ$8 @ 75.0¢
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-10-11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$5 @ 40.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerLost
Spirit$2 @ 16.0¢
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Won
JD Gaming$11 @ 74.7¢
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Won
Nongshim RedForce$1 @ 28.0¢
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Won
Nemiga$29 @ 53.1¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 33.5Won
Under$2 @ 39.0¢
Miami (FL) vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5Won
Over$60 @ 49.7¢
Spread: Jets (-8.5)Lost
Jets$7 @ 16.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)Lost
MOUZ$8 @ 48.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)Won
Vitality$2 @ 36.0¢
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Lost
Chiefs$21 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?Lost
No$3 @ 53.8¢
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)Won
Xtreme Gaming$43 @ 60.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerLost
HANJIN BRION$3 @ 13.0¢
Spread: Colts (-16.5)Won
Colts$2 @ 38.0¢
Syracuse vs. UConnWon
Syracuse$9 @ 86.4¢
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Won
Natus Vincere$4 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?Won
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-03?Won
No$23 @ 86.0¢
Will Las Vegas Lights vs. San Antonio FC end in a draw?Won
No$9 @ 69.0¢
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-10-09?Lost
No$7 @ 53.0¢
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-10-09?Won
Yes$10 @ 35.8¢
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Lost
Natus Vincere$17 @ 26.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$618	63.5¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	Yes	$414	61.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$359	37.0¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$231	63.5¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$216	67.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Politics	No	$186	90.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	Tech	No	$174	87.0¢
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$162	55.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	Economy	No	$159	85.6¢
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	Economy	Yes	$159	54.8¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$145	82.3¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?	Science	Yes	$143	39.6¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$142	60.0¢
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$119	37.2¢
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	Science	Yes	$118	47.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Politics	Yes	$101	31.6¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$98	21.6¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Politics	Yes	$98	30.6¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$90	22.5¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$89	48.1¢
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	Science	Yes	$89	35.8¢
Will Lyon finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	No	$89	60.0¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$85	36.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Tech	No	$83	48.9¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Politics	No	$82	93.1¢
Anduril IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$82	90.2¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	No	$82	65.2¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?	Science	Yes	$77	21.3¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$68	78.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$67	36.3¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$618 @ 63.5¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
Yes$414 @ 61.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$359 @ 37.0¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$231 @ 63.5¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture
Yes$216 @ 67.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
No$186 @ 90.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Tech
No$174 @ 87.0¢
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Politics
Yes$162 @ 55.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy
No$159 @ 85.6¢
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy
Yes$159 @ 54.8¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$145 @ 82.3¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Science
Yes$143 @ 39.6¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$142 @ 60.0¢
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$119 @ 37.2¢
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Science
Yes$118 @ 47.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics
Yes$101 @ 31.6¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$98 @ 21.6¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics
Yes$98 @ 30.6¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$90 @ 22.5¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Tech
Yes$89 @ 48.1¢
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Science
Yes$89 @ 35.8¢
Will Lyon finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
No$89 @ 60.0¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$85 @ 36.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Tech
No$83 @ 48.9¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics
No$82 @ 93.1¢
Anduril IPO before 2027?Business
No$82 @ 90.2¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
No$82 @ 65.2¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Science
Yes$77 @ 21.3¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$68 @ 78.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$67 @ 36.3¢