← Smart money
0x8f91…0689
SharpEdge
+4.1pp
ROI
+91%
Win rate
11% @ 7.1¢
Brier
0.066
Resolved
241
Avg size
$14
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 28% (8/29) | +91% | 29 |
| Science | 13% (1/8) | -52% | 8 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +7% | 2 |
- Other29 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (8/29)
- ROI
- +91%
- Science8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- -52%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +7%
Track record
26% hit · 10/39- Yes$100 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 31.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
- Gujarat Titans$201 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$29 @ 0.8¢
- Jack Kennedy$100 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$337 @ 14.3¢
- Daniel Altmaier$101 @ 81.3¢
- Yes$295 @ 21.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
- Aleksandar Kovacevic$103 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$134 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$101 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$183 @ 6.2¢
- Yasmine Kabbaj$101 @ 83.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $53 | 52.5¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $51 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $22 | 22.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $22 | 20.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 16.6¢ |
- Yes$53 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$51 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 22.2¢
- Yes$22 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 16.6¢