0x8f14…1e77

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8f14e0b966a461840dbe042d42993009cfcb1e77
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

70% @ 63.4¢

Brier

0.166

Resolved

752

Avg size

$895

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (300/453)	+12%	453
Sports	40% (6/15)	+50%	15
Politics	25% (1/4)	-4%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+26%	1

Other453 bets
Hit rate
66% (300/453)
ROI
+12%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
ROI
+50%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+26%

Track record

65% hit · 308/475

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	$1.0k	63.9¢	Won
Hyperliquid all time high before August?	No	$2.5k	57.5¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	$5	30.0¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	Roman Andres Burruchaga	$47	72.0¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high before October?	Yes	$3.0k	71.3¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$100	89.0¢	Won
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	$20	52.0¢	Lost
Wild vs. Stars	Stars	$100	55.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?	No	$100	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?	No	$10	9.3¢	Lost
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$100	48.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$100	80.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$101	59.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	$1000	68.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$200	74.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	$400	54.6¢	Won
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Iga Swiatek	$100	56.0¢	Lost
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Over	$200	81.0¢	Won
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	7.0¢	Lost
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?	Yes	$1.0k	64.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?	No	$5.0k	81.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.4k	19.4¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?	No	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	Yes	$228	36.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner	3DMAX	$350	59.3¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	Carlos Alcaraz	$3.0k	49.0¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	Jannik Sinner	$16.9k	78.0¢	Won
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	48.0¢	Won
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	$15	58.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$512	52.7¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	MOUZ	$100	63.0¢	Won
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Trace Esports	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$2.0k	66.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?	Yes	$4.2k	70.0¢	Lost
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov	Alcaraz	$4.5k	71.1¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	No	$2.5k	65.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Charles Jourdain	$40	56.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$1.0k	63.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$500	71.4¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?	Yes	$200	82.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	$500	60.9¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$101	69.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$2.0k	59.0¢	Won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3.0k	64.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 8?	Yes	$3.2k	59.4¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	$720	50.1¢	Won
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltert	Kasatkina	$27	79.0¢	Lost
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltert	Waltert	$347	61.8¢	Won
BNP Paribas Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	$1000	62.3¢	Won
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungelliti	Luciano Darderi	$100	39.0¢	Lost

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
Team Falcons$1.0k @ 63.9¢
Hyperliquid all time high before August?Lost
No$2.5k @ 57.5¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia BellucciWon
Mattia Bellucci$5 @ 30.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia BellucciLost
Roman Andres Burruchaga$47 @ 72.0¢
Ethereum all time high before October?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 71.3¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsWon
Vitality$100 @ 89.0¢
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$20 @ 52.0¢
Wild vs. StarsWon
Stars$100 @ 55.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?Won
No$100 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?Lost
No$10 @ 9.3¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$100 @ 48.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Won
Yes$100 @ 80.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$101 @ 59.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerLost
TheMongolz$1000 @ 68.4¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsWon
Vitality$200 @ 74.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
Team Falcons$400 @ 54.6¢
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra AndreevaLost
Iga Swiatek$100 @ 56.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Won
Over$200 @ 81.0¢
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 7.0¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Won
No$5.0k @ 81.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 19.4¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Lost
No$10 @ 45.0¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
Yes$228 @ 36.9¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerWon
3DMAX$350 @ 59.3¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerLost
Carlos Alcaraz$3.0k @ 49.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerWon
Jannik Sinner$16.9k @ 78.0¢
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Won
Over$10 @ 48.0¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxLost
Boston Red Sox$15 @ 58.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$512 @ 52.7¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsWon
MOUZ$100 @ 63.0¢
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaLost
Trace Esports$10 @ 45.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 66.0¢
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Lost
Yes$4.2k @ 70.0¢
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen KhachanovWon
Alcaraz$4.5k @ 71.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Won
No$2.5k @ 65.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Charles Jourdain$40 @ 56.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 63.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
Yes$500 @ 71.4¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?Lost
Yes$200 @ 82.1¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerWon
Vitality$500 @ 60.9¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$101 @ 69.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 59.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$3.0k @ 64.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 8?Won
Yes$3.2k @ 59.4¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$720 @ 50.1¢
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona WaltertLost
Kasatkina$27 @ 79.0¢
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona WaltertWon
Waltert$347 @ 61.8¢
BNP Paribas Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Elena RybakinaWon
Elena Rybakina$1000 @ 62.3¢
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco TrungellitiLost
Luciano Darderi$100 @ 39.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14.2k	81.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$12.8k	85.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9.7k	67.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.8k	93.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.8k	93.8¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$2.3k	22.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$1.6k	56.1¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.5k	15.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.5k	89.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	12.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$571	97.6¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$264	13.4¢
Ledger IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$100	34.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$84	96.8¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$10	1.3¢
Revolut IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$10	81.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$10	22.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	8.5¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14.2k @ 81.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$12.8k @ 85.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9.7k @ 67.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.8k @ 93.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.8k @ 93.8¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$2.3k @ 22.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$1.6k @ 56.1¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$1.5k @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.5k @ 89.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 12.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$571 @ 97.6¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$264 @ 13.4¢
Ledger IPO before 2027?Business
No$100 @ 34.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$84 @ 96.8¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
Revolut IPO before 2027?Business
No$10 @ 81.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
Yes$5 @ 8.5¢