0x8e9e…38e4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.2pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

62% @ 50.1¢

Brier

0.103

Resolved

172

Avg size

$351

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (26/64)	+6%	64
Sports	69% (11/16)	+45%	16
Politics	40% (4/10)	+75%	10
Economy	33% (1/3)	+0%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-1%	2
Culture	50% (1/2)	+15%	2

Other64 bets
Hit rate
41% (26/64)
ROI
+6%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
69% (11/16)
ROI
+45%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+75%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+0%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-1%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+15%

Track record

45% hit · 44/97

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-03?	No	$194	64.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$47	32.0¢	Won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$87	85.0¢	Won
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?	No	$1.3k	66.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	$470	87.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$3.2k	48.0¢	Won
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$682	1.1¢	Lost
Will FURIA Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	$41	82.0¢	Won
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	$8	1.3¢	Lost
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?	No	$3.6k	72.0¢	Won
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	$4	70.0¢	Won
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	$33	7.0¢	Lost
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?	No	$352	86.9¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	$3.0k	79.5¢	Won
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 29?	No	$15	89.4¢	Won
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	No	$11	52.0¢	Won
Will Falcons Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	$30	58.0¢	Lost
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?	No	$3.2k	81.2¢	Won
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?	No	$360	89.0¢	Lost
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	No	$217	72.0¢	Won
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$8	35.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$1.0k	45.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	$404	74.3¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	$747	19.5¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$63	6.8¢	Lost
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$18.5k	63.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$1	8.0¢	Won
Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?	No	$558	74.7¢	Won
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$5.6k	66.9¢	Won
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$14	1.0¢	Lost
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?	No	$91	22.0¢	Won
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?	No	$2.9k	72.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	$10	3.3¢	Lost
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?	No	$317	42.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 1 Ghana?	No	$14	85.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?	No	$14	84.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	$389	71.3¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$31	35.0¢	Lost
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$86	84.1¢	Won
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?	No	$569	76.3¢	Won
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$190	8.0¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	$4	70.0¢	Won
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	$19	0.8¢	Lost
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	$51	5.2¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	No	$332	82.4¢	Won
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$5.3k	88.2¢	Won
Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	$22	43.0¢	Won
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?	No	$1.8k	44.8¢	Won

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-03?Lost
No$194 @ 64.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$47 @ 32.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$87 @ 85.0¢
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?Won
No$1.3k @ 66.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Won
No$470 @ 87.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$3.2k @ 48.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
No$682 @ 1.1¢
Will FURIA Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Won
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Lost
No$8 @ 1.3¢
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?Won
No$3.6k @ 72.0¢
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Won
No$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
No$33 @ 7.0¢
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?Won
No$352 @ 86.9¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
No$3.0k @ 79.5¢
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$5 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 29?Won
No$15 @ 89.4¢
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Won
No$11 @ 52.0¢
Will Falcons Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Lost
No$30 @ 58.0¢
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?Won
No$3.2k @ 81.2¢
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?Lost
No$360 @ 89.0¢
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?Won
No$217 @ 72.0¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Lost
No$8 @ 35.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
No$1.0k @ 45.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Won
No$404 @ 74.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
No$747 @ 19.5¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Lost
No$63 @ 6.8¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$18.5k @ 63.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?Won
No$558 @ 74.7¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$5.6k @ 66.9¢
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$14 @ 1.0¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?Won
No$91 @ 22.0¢
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?Lost
No$2.9k @ 72.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 3.3¢
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?Lost
No$317 @ 42.1¢
Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 1 Ghana?Won
No$14 @ 85.0¢
Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?Won
No$14 @ 84.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Won
No$389 @ 71.3¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
No$31 @ 35.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
No$20 @ 0.2¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$86 @ 84.1¢
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?Won
No$569 @ 76.3¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$190 @ 8.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Won
No$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?Lost
No$19 @ 0.8¢
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Lost
No$51 @ 5.2¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Won
No$332 @ 82.4¢
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$5.3k @ 88.2¢
Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Won
No$22 @ 43.0¢
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?Won
No$1.8k @ 44.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$749	50.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$742	50.0¢
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$742	50.0¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$500	50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?	Politics	Yes	$490	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$250	50.0¢
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$164	11.0¢
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$155	0.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$125	12.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$125	12.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Politics	Yes	$125	12.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$125	12.5¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$114	7.7¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$99	3.8¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$99	3.8¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$62	4.2¢

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$749 @ 50.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$742 @ 50.0¢
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$742 @ 50.0¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?Politics
Yes$490 @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$164 @ 11.0¢
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$125 @ 12.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$125 @ 12.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics
Yes$125 @ 12.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$125 @ 12.5¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$114 @ 7.7¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$99 @ 3.8¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$99 @ 3.8¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$62 @ 4.2¢