0x8e89…c03b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8e89a5b7db763f3c3bfdfd8edaf4a6ff7f48c03b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.9pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

88% @ 72.8¢

Brier

0.056

Resolved

171

Avg size

$606

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (12/29)	+17%	29
Politics	100% (2/2)	+25%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+72%	1

Other29 bets
Hit rate
41% (12/29)
ROI
+17%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+25%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%

Track record

47% hit · 15/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$216	83.9¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$1.6k	82.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$1.0k	85.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$195	22.6¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$499	3.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	61.0¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$19.3k	74.3¢	Won
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Benoît Saint Denis	$507	56.0¢	Lost
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$7	0.7¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$31.6k	58.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$164	76.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	$300	24.0¢	Lost
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$21	4.9¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$3.0k	68.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$16.2k	88.0¢	Won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	$9.5k	86.2¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$1.0k	40.6¢	Won
Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$183	55.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Portugal	$6.5k	72.3¢	Won
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$22	3.6¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$4.2k	83.0¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?	Yes	$100	27.2¢	Lost
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$250	31.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	$373	74.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$20	4.7¢	Lost
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$50	16.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$4.8k	74.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance	Belgium	$1.2k	58.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$196	14.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$200	4.4¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$307	56.0¢	Lost
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$9	1.7¢	Lost

Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$216 @ 83.9¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$1.0k @ 85.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$195 @ 22.6¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$499 @ 3.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 61.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$19.3k @ 74.3¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Benoît Saint Denis$507 @ 56.0¢
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$31.6k @ 58.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$164 @ 76.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$300 @ 24.0¢
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$21 @ 4.9¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$3.0k @ 68.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$16.2k @ 88.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Won
Over$9.5k @ 86.2¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 40.6¢
Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$183 @ 55.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceWon
Portugal$6.5k @ 72.3¢
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$22 @ 3.6¢
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$4.2k @ 83.0¢
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 27.2¢
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$250 @ 31.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Won
Over$373 @ 74.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$20 @ 4.7¢
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$4.8k @ 74.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWon
Belgium$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$196 @ 14.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$200 @ 4.4¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$307 @ 56.0¢
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	69.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$640	32.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$24	97.8¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 69.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$640 @ 32.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$24 @ 97.8¢