0x8e77…c4f3

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other205 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (166/205)

  ROI

  +6%

• Politics46 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (38/46)

  ROI

  +0%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  +9%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (6/6)

  ROI

  +22%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +2%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +85%

• Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?Won
  No$4.5k @ 85.8¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Won
  No$65 @ 89.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$243 @ 85.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$468 @ 18.7¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Won
  No$212 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Won
  No$3.5k @ 87.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$4.1k @ 82.0¢
• Will Chainlink hit $23 in January?Won
  No$29 @ 88.0¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?Won
  No$4.4k @ 88.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
  No$4.4k @ 88.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 9?Won
  No$4.5k @ 89.4¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$47 @ 80.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?Won
  Yes$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 82.3¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$1.8k @ 74.0¢
• Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Won
  No$619 @ 78.0¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$6 @ 67.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
  No$10.2k @ 81.4¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 11?Won
  No$553 @ 89.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$4.0k @ 79.2¢
• Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?Won
  No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?Won
  Yes$4.4k @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Won
  No$2.0k @ 78.3¢
• Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Won
  No$162 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 1-7?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 51.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$3.1k @ 62.0¢
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 78.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$4.4k @ 88.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
  No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
• Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 74.0¢
• Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$3.5k @ 67.9¢
• Will Ethena reach $0.50 in November?Won
  No$528 @ 88.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
  No$5.2k @ 69.7¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
  No$8.5k @ 81.2¢
• Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$4.2k @ 83.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  No$1.3k @ 64.0¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$7.4k @ 83.9¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$10.0k @ 66.7¢
• US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Won
  No$298 @ 74.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$5.7k @ 80.6¢
• EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Won
  No$1.0k @ 69.1¢
• Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$7.0k @ 78.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?Won
  No$1.4k @ 88.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$2.6k @ 52.0¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Won
  No$12.5k @ 89.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Won
  No$4.5k @ 88.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 37.4¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$29.8k @ 74.1¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$23.7k @ 71.5¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics
  No$12.2k @ 97.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$11.8k @ 83.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$11.3k @ 90.6¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$10.6k @ 85.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$9.6k @ 95.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$9.4k @ 94.0¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$8.5k @ 85.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$4.9k @ 97.3¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4.8k @ 96.4¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?Politics
  No$4.8k @ 95.4¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$4.8k @ 95.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$4.7k @ 93.1¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 92.8¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 90.6¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 92.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4.6k @ 92.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 90.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$4.5k @ 89.1¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4.5k @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4.4k @ 89.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 85.0¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 84.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 83.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4.1k @ 82.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
  No$4.1k @ 81.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$4.1k @ 81.0¢