0x8deb…7062

Specialization by sphere

• Other54 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (46/54)

  ROI

  +13%

• Economy14 bets

  Hit rate

  93% (13/14)

  ROI

  +4%

• Geopolitics7 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (7/7)

  ROI

  +3%

• Politics4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +15%

• Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Won
  No$165 @ 99.8¢
• Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Won
  No$133 @ 99.9¢
• Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Won
  Yes$922 @ 99.4¢
• Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Won
  No$1.2k @ 99.8¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 97.4¢
• No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$95 @ 95.3¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$110 @ 97.8¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?Won
  No$15 @ 73.0¢
• Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Won
  No$132 @ 88.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$78 @ 78.0¢
• Will SOFR hit 3.75% (High) between February 13 and February 28?Won
  No$16 @ 77.5¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Won
  Yes$970 @ 72.8¢
• Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between March 1 and March 31?Won
  No$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?Won
  No$1 @ 10.0¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Won
  Yes$30 @ 82.6¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Won
  Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Won
  No$4 @ 89.1¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?Won
  No$12 @ 63.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Won
  Yes$122 @ 88.8¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Lost
  No$3 @ 25.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 85.5¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Lost
  Yes$120 @ 87.4¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 60.0¢
• Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Won
  Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Won
  No$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Won
  No$48 @ 78.2¢
• No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 87.5¢
• Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?Lost
  No$1 @ 10.0¢
• Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Won
  No$364 @ 88.1¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Won
  No$7 @ 68.0¢
• Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Won
  No$12 @ 60.9¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Won
  No$429 @ 88.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?Won
  No$14 @ 87.6¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of February?Won
  No$38 @ 85.4¢
• Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?Won
  No$10 @ 77.1¢
• Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Won
  No$303 @ 86.6¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$102 @ 84.8¢
• March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?Won
  No$88 @ 88.1¢
• Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Won
  No$41 @ 81.4¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Won
  Yes$587 @ 85.7¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
  No$201 @ 87.2¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?Won
  No$0 @ 70.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?Won
  No$11 @ 85.0¢
• Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Won
  No$9 @ 85.0¢
• Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?Won
  Yes$9 @ 89.1¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 59.9¢
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Lost
  No$265 @ 86.5¢
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
  Yes$475 @ 86.3¢

Current positions

• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$4.2k @ 96.3¢
• Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Geopolitics
  No$2.6k @ 96.6¢
• Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 99.7¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 99.9¢
• Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 99.5¢
• Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  No$259 @ 99.8¢
• Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics
  No$250 @ 96.9¢
• Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$169 @ 93.6¢
• Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  No$100 @ 99.8¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Economy
  No$66 @ 99.8¢
• Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?Politics
  No$60 @ 90.8¢
• Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy
  No$49 @ 86.2¢
• Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?Politics
  No$36 @ 94.9¢
• Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?Politics
  No$34 @ 95.0¢