0x8ddd…4b3a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8ddd35311430603d2ec6ad88dab5ad5a78064b3a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.3pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

73% @ 59.2¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

147

Avg size

$60

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (60/92)	+20%	92
Politics	40% (2/5)	-47%	5
Sports	75% (3/4)	+96%	4
Tech	100% (2/2)	+19%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+47%	1

Other92 bets
Hit rate
65% (60/92)
ROI
+20%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-47%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+96%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+19%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+47%

Track record

65% hit · 68/104

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$58	58.9¢	Won
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$83	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during Macon, GA rally?	Yes	$66	65.8¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	$67	67.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$246	81.9¢	Won
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$100	52.0¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Garbage" during Macon, GA rally?	Yes	$87	87.1¢	Won
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$365	72.4¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$137	68.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mexico" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$99	72.2¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$86	86.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Lost
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?	Yes	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$132	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "fake jobs" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$20	66.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$60	60.0¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?	Yes	$31	61.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$67	66.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$428	85.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	Yes	$68	68.4¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$77	77.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 13?	Yes	$43	43.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?	Yes	$76	76.2¢	Won
Big Game: Coin Toss	Heads	$50	50.1¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$154	77.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "think of it" 5 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$68	68.0¢	Won
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$21	20.9¢	Lost
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$61	61.1¢	Won
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Won
Will Dell say "New Product" during earnings call?	Yes	$39	77.0¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Gaza" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?	Yes	$69	69.0¢	Lost
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	Yes	$157	87.2¢	Won
Pacers vs. Wizards	Wizards	$90	21.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$86	17.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$138	69.0¢	Won
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$92	3.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	FURIA	$81	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	No	$190	49.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Won
Russia announces air truce by August 31?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$69	68.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?	Yes	$34	44.0¢	Lost
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$44	22.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?	No	$47	23.5¢	Won

Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$58 @ 58.9¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
No$83 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during Macon, GA rally?Won
Yes$66 @ 65.8¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?Won
Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$246 @ 81.9¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$100 @ 52.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Garbage" during Macon, GA rally?Won
Yes$87 @ 87.1¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$365 @ 72.4¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$137 @ 68.5¢
Will Trump say "Mexico" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$99 @ 72.2¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Lost
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?Lost
Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$132 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump say "fake jobs" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$20 @ 66.6¢
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?Won
Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$67 @ 66.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$428 @ 85.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Won
Yes$68 @ 68.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 13?Won
Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Won
Yes$76 @ 76.2¢
Big Game: Coin TossWon
Heads$50 @ 50.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$154 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump say "think of it" 5 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$21 @ 20.9¢
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$61 @ 61.1¢
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Dell say "New Product" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Israel" or "Gaza" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?Lost
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Won
Yes$157 @ 87.2¢
Pacers vs. WizardsLost
Wizards$90 @ 21.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$86 @ 17.0¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$138 @ 69.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$92 @ 3.1¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageWon
FURIA$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?Lost
No$190 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Won
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Russia announces air truce by August 31?Lost
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$69 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Lost
Yes$34 @ 44.0¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$44 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Won
No$47 @ 23.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Politics	Yes	$246	82.0¢
GTA VI released by November 30?	Culture	Yes	$188	94.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$174	87.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$144	72.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$132	66.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$85	84.6¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$48	24.0¢

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics
Yes$246 @ 82.0¢
GTA VI released by November 30?Culture
Yes$188 @ 94.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
Yes$174 @ 87.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$144 @ 72.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$132 @ 66.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$85 @ 84.6¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$48 @ 24.0¢