← Smart money
0x8dd7…dd08
SharpEdge
+20.3pp
ROI
+48%
Win rate
58% @ 37.4¢
Brier
0.082
Resolved
85
Avg size
$135
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +28% | 1 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +61% | 1 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +28%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +61%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | $4 | 78.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | $654 | 4.1¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | $255 | 2.8¢ | Lost |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $10.6k | 62.2¢ | Won |
- Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$654 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$255 @ 2.8¢
- No$10.6k @ 62.2¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
- No$10 @ 97.0¢
- No$7 @ 98.0¢
- No$6 @ 97.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 97.7¢
- No$6 @ 96.9¢
- No$6 @ 96.3¢
- No$6 @ 95.2¢
- No$6 @ 94.0¢
- No$6 @ 93.0¢
- No$5 @ 90.0¢
- No$5 @ 88.0¢
- No$5 @ 98.3¢
- No$5 @ 98.0¢
- No$5 @ 80.0¢
- No$5 @ 95.7¢
- No$5 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 90.0¢