0x8dcd…f787

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8dcd9cce7c9b90cefb23ceaad50f5b3eaa6df787
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+21.3pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

94% @ 72.5¢

Brier

0.105

Resolved

Avg size

$31

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (10/22)	+22%	22
Politics	100% (4/4)	+26%	4
Sports	50% (1/2)	+213%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other22 bets
Hit rate
45% (10/22)
ROI
+22%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+26%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+213%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 16/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Up	$1	57.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	$2	54.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1PM ET	Up	$1	77.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	$1	67.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	$1	63.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	$1	69.6¢	Lost
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	$1	61.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	$2	61.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	$1	76.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	$1	74.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	$1	60.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?	Yes	$10	49.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$13	65.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	$4	89.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?	Yes	$1	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?	No	$11	55.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?	Yes	$30	74.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	$1	81.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$75	83.6¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	17.1¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$755	83.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?	Yes	$1	71.0¢	Lost
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	$24	89.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?	No	$24	46.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?	Yes	$8	75.5¢	Won

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 57.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETLost
Down$2 @ 54.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 77.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 67.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?Lost
Up$1 @ 63.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 69.6¢
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 61.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 61.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 76.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?Lost
Up$1 @ 40.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 74.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 60.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Won
No$13 @ 65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 89.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?Won
Yes$1 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Won
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?Won
Yes$30 @ 74.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
Yes$75 @ 83.6¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$755 @ 83.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 71.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Won
Yes$24 @ 89.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?Won
No$24 @ 46.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$281	36.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$54	49.4¢

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$281 @ 36.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Economy
Yes$54 @ 49.4¢