0x8d85…726f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8d85fa205607bde362a92208fb04e6d9e44c726f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

28% @ 21.8¢

Brier

0.128

Resolved

1041

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (54/156)	+2%	156
Sports	39% (57/147)	+76%	147
Politics	28% (38/135)	-5%	135
Science	18% (18/102)	+77%	102
Crypto	34% (32/94)	+257%	94
Culture	23% (7/30)	-9%	30
Business	43% (9/21)	+251%	21
Tech	29% (5/17)	+148%	17
Economy	50% (5/10)	-33%	10
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	+65%	4

Other156 bets
Hit rate
35% (54/156)
ROI
+2%
Sports147 bets
Hit rate
39% (57/147)
ROI
+76%
Politics135 bets
Hit rate
28% (38/135)
ROI
-5%
Science102 bets
Hit rate
18% (18/102)
ROI
+77%
Crypto94 bets
Hit rate
34% (32/94)
ROI
+257%
Culture30 bets
Hit rate
23% (7/30)
ROI
-9%
Business21 bets
Hit rate
43% (9/21)
ROI
+251%
Tech17 bets
Hit rate
29% (5/17)
ROI
+148%
Economy10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-33%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+65%

Track record

32% hit · 226/716

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)	Seahawks	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will Henry Lebioda finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship?	Yes	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	$2	2.5¢	Lost
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	$2	2.5¢	Lost
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	$2	2.5¢	Lost
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)	Ravens	$4	85.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: NEC 0 - 0 FC Groningen?	Yes	$0	5.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	$0	3.6¢	Lost
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hannover 96: O/U 0.5	Over	$5	97.7¢	Won
Exact Score: Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 0 Hannover 96?	Yes	$0	5.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 SG Dynamo Dresden?	Yes	$0	6.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 SBV Excelsior?	Yes	$0	7.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portland Timbers 0 - 0 Charlotte FC?	Yes	$0	3.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: San Diego FC 0 - 0 Seattle Sounders FC?	Yes	$0	4.1¢	Lost
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Vanderbilt Team Total: O/U 32.5	Over	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Sporting Kansas City 0 - 0 Austin FC?	Yes	$0	4.5¢	Lost
Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Orlando City SC 0 - 0 New York City FC?	Yes	$0	4.3¢	Lost
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Won
Heat vs. Hornets: 4Q O/U 53.5	Over	$3	51.0¢	Won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$3	52.0¢	Lost
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	$3	52.0¢	Lost
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5	No	$3	52.0¢	Lost
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Heat vs. Hornets: 4Q O/U 51.5	Under	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Southern Utah (-7.5)	Idaho	$18	61.0¢	Won
Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 0 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	$0	2.8¢	Lost
2Q Spread: Heat (-2.5)	Hornets	$3	51.0¢	Won
Hornets 1H Team Total: O/U 57.5	Over	$3	58.0¢	Won
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 0 1. FC Kaiserslautern?	Yes	$0	4.8¢	Lost
Hornets 1H Team Total: O/U 55.5	Under	$2	44.0¢	Lost

Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)Won
Seahawks$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Henry Lebioda finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship?Lost
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.5¢
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.5¢
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.5¢
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)Lost
Ravens$4 @ 85.0¢
Exact Score: NEC 0 - 0 FC Groningen?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.1¢
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.6¢
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hannover 96: O/U 0.5Won
Over$5 @ 97.7¢
Exact Score: Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 0 Hannover 96?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.4¢
Exact Score: Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 SG Dynamo Dresden?Lost
Yes$0 @ 6.7¢
Exact Score: Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 SBV Excelsior?Lost
Yes$0 @ 7.1¢
Exact Score: Portland Timbers 0 - 0 Charlotte FC?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.6¢
Exact Score: San Diego FC 0 - 0 Seattle Sounders FC?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.1¢
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Vanderbilt Team Total: O/U 32.5Lost
Over$2 @ 33.0¢
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Exact Score: Sporting Kansas City 0 - 0 Austin FC?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.5¢
Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5Lost
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Exact Score: Orlando City SC 0 - 0 New York City FC?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.3¢
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Heat vs. Hornets: 4Q O/U 53.5Won
Over$3 @ 51.0¢
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$3 @ 52.0¢
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.5Lost
No$3 @ 52.0¢
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.5Lost
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5Lost
No$3 @ 52.0¢
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Heat vs. Hornets: 4Q O/U 51.5Lost
Under$3 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Southern Utah (-7.5)Won
Idaho$18 @ 61.0¢
Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 0 Inter Miami CF?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.8¢
2Q Spread: Heat (-2.5)Won
Hornets$3 @ 51.0¢
Hornets 1H Team Total: O/U 57.5Won
Over$3 @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 0 1. FC Kaiserslautern?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.8¢
Hornets 1H Team Total: O/U 55.5Lost
Under$2 @ 44.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?	Other	Yes	$108	92.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	Business	No	$87	54.3¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$75	78.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Politics	Yes	$60	20.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in October?	Business	No	$49	97.9¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?	Business	No	$49	97.2¢
Will Michael Penix Jr. finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$40	77.1¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Economy	No	$36	98.0¢
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?	Economy	No	$33	72.7¢
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$31	25.8¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?	Other	No	$31	44.4¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	Crypto	No	$29	71.5¢
Will A.J. Brown be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$27	90.3¢
Will Chainlink reach $16 in October?	Crypto	Yes	$27	89.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$24	61.1¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	50.0¢
Will Emeka Egbuka be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$23	92.6¢

Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?Other
Yes$108 @ 92.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?Business
No$87 @ 54.3¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$75 @ 78.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics
Yes$60 @ 20.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in October?Business
No$49 @ 97.9¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?Business
No$49 @ 97.2¢
Will Michael Penix Jr. finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$40 @ 77.1¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy
No$36 @ 98.0¢
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?Economy
No$33 @ 72.7¢
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
Yes$31 @ 25.8¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?Other
No$31 @ 44.4¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Crypto
No$29 @ 71.5¢
Will A.J. Brown be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
Yes$27 @ 90.3¢
Will Chainlink reach $16 in October?Crypto
Yes$27 @ 89.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$24 @ 61.1¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 50.0¢
Will Emeka Egbuka be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
Yes$23 @ 92.6¢