0x8ca9…f466

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8ca91b7864941aa720c7eea8241f8d851ae2f466
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+25.2pp

ROI

+62%

Win rate

69% @ 44.0¢

Brier

0.284

Resolved

292

Avg size

$25

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (120/190)	+55%	190
Business	71% (36/51)	+35%	51
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	100% (1/1)	+106%	1

Other190 bets
Hit rate
63% (120/190)
ROI
+55%
Business51 bets
Hit rate
71% (36/51)
ROI
+35%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+106%

Track record

65% hit · 157/243

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$22	42.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Won
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $155 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	$9	59.0¢	Won
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	No	$10	62.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6?	Yes	$15	60.0¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 6?	Yes	$15	75.0¢	Won
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of October 5 2026?	No	$9	43.0¢	Lost
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in October?	Yes	$12	62.0¢	Won
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?	No	$13	65.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.75 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$11	56.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$58	72.5¢	Won
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$68	76.0¢	Won
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$18	56.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$2	22.0¢	Won
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$15	75.0¢	Won
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	44.0¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$7	24.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$11	57.0¢	Lost
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	$39	56.2¢	Lost
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	$211	80.5¢	Won
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of September 2026?	No	$325	74.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$10	51.7¢	Won
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of September 2026?	No	$24	72.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	No	$28	57.0¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 in September?	No	$34	49.0¢	Won
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September?	No	$6	97.0¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?	No	$17	90.0¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in September?	No	$24	93.5¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?	No	$37	74.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	No	$41	58.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	$4	17.0¢	Lost
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	No	$40	79.0¢	Won
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on September 30?	Up	$4	45.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $152.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$11	54.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 in September?	No	$7	33.0¢	Lost
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$8	39.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $244 Week of March 30 2026?	No	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of April 13 2026?	No	$69	86.3¢	Lost
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in May?	No	$4	18.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 11 2026?	No	$67	26.6¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	No	$25	50.0¢	Won
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of May 25 2026?	No	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026?	No	$4	62.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 8 2026?	No	$23	42.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 22?	Yes	$39	78.0¢	Won
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of April 27 2026?	No	$13	43.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	$25	45.0¢	Lost

Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 42.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $155 Week of October 5 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 59.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 62.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6?Won
Yes$15 @ 60.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 6?Won
Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of October 5 2026?Lost
No$9 @ 43.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in October?Won
Yes$12 @ 62.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?Lost
No$13 @ 65.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.75 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$11 @ 56.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$58 @ 72.5¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$68 @ 76.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$18 @ 56.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$2 @ 22.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 44.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 24.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 57.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?Lost
No$39 @ 56.2¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026?Won
No$211 @ 80.5¢
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of September 2026?Won
No$325 @ 74.0¢
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 51.7¢
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of September 2026?Won
No$24 @ 72.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Won
No$28 @ 57.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 in September?Won
No$34 @ 49.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September?Won
No$6 @ 97.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?Won
No$17 @ 90.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in September?Won
No$24 @ 93.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?Won
No$37 @ 74.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?Won
No$41 @ 58.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?Lost
Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 in September?Won
No$40 @ 79.0¢
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on September 30?Lost
Up$4 @ 45.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $152.50 Week of September 28 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 in September?Lost
No$7 @ 33.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 28 2026?Lost
No$8 @ 39.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $244 Week of March 30 2026?Won
No$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
No$69 @ 86.3¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in May?Won
No$4 @ 18.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 11 2026?Won
No$67 @ 26.6¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?Won
No$25 @ 50.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of May 25 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026?Won
No$4 @ 62.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 8 2026?Lost
No$23 @ 42.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 22?Won
Yes$39 @ 78.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of April 27 2026?Won
No$13 @ 43.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?Lost
No$25 @ 45.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	No	$712	72.5¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	Yes	$437	62.9¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in October?	Business	No	$367	80.2¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	No	$230	87.0¢
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Business	No	$108	86.6¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Business	No	$68	68.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Business	No	$52	52.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Business	No	$41	75.4¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in October?	Business	No	$36	89.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$33	74.9¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	No	$22	56.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$20	83.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$19	53.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	Business	No	$17	82.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	No	$12	61.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	No	$12	61.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in October?	Business	No	$12	60.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Business	No	$10	49.0¢
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.50T at the end of November 2026?	Business	No	$4	74.7¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?	Business	Yes	$1	5.0¢

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?Business
No$712 @ 72.5¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?Business
Yes$437 @ 62.9¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in October?Business
No$367 @ 80.2¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 5 2026?Business
No$230 @ 87.0¢
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?Business
No$108 @ 86.6¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Business
No$68 @ 68.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Business
No$52 @ 52.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?Business
No$41 @ 75.4¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in October?Business
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?Other
No$33 @ 74.9¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?Business
No$22 @ 56.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech
Yes$20 @ 83.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?Other
No$19 @ 53.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Business
No$17 @ 82.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 5 2026?Business
No$12 @ 61.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of October 5 2026?Business
No$12 @ 61.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in October?Business
No$12 @ 60.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?Business
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.50T at the end of November 2026?Business
No$4 @ 74.7¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?Business
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢