← Smart money
0x8c94…2e06
SharpEdge
+8.7pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
47% @ 38.3¢
Brier
0.179
Resolved
204
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (29/55) | +106% | 55 |
| Politics | 38% (13/34) | -10% | 34 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +30% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other55 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (29/55)
- ROI
- +106%
- Politics34 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (13/34)
- ROI
- -10%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +30%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
44% hit · 43/98- Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
- Team Vitality$2 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
- No$41 @ 59.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 40.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 70.4¢
- No$20 @ 12.0¢
- Voca$6 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 25.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 13.7¢
- No$4 @ 85.0¢
- DN SOOPers Challengers$1 @ 67.0¢
- Natus Vincere$3 @ 22.9¢
- Vitality$11 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 54.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- No$8 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.0¢
- Natus Vincere$1 @ 63.0¢
- No$6 @ 55.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 43.0¢
- No$69 @ 46.2¢
- 100 Thieves$1 @ 66.0¢
- Kiwoom DRX$1 @ 56.0¢
- G2 Esports$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
- No$25 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 43.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 85.0¢
- UNiTY esports$6 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
- MOUZ NXT$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$16 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 28.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Bounty Hunters Esports$2 @ 12.9¢
- Imperial$2 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 70.0¢
- Spirit$11 @ 72.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | No | $43 | 94.0¢ |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Sports | Yes | $41 | 81.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 68.0¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $8 | 13.7¢ |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 21.5¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 4.5¢ |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $5 | 98.5¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $5 | 7.1¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.8¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 32.0¢ |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Politics | No | $1 | 7.2¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.7¢ |
- No$43 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 21.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.5¢
- No$5 @ 98.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNo$1 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.7¢