0x8c92…ebd9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8c9233e5b93bdc9ddc202079a426bc4a6f2bebd9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.1pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

92% @ 77.3¢

Brier

0.069

Resolved

953

Avg size

$770

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	79% (33/42)	+12%	42
Sports	71% (5/7)	-22%	7
Politics	100% (2/2)	+21%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other42 bets
Hit rate
79% (33/42)
ROI
+12%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
-22%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

77% hit · 40/52

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	$7.4k	92.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$6.4k	77.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	No	$7.0k	92.3¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	No	$6.4k	91.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$4.5k	78.1¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$5.1k	83.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$1.4k	67.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$29.5k	80.2¢	Won
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	$753	89.5¢	Won
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Fury	$21.7k	84.8¢	Won
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$234	78.3¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	$820	64.9¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$65.6k	83.2¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$21.9k	80.5¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	$8.0k	69.1¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.6k	56.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$36.7k	73.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	$37.3k	86.4¢	Won
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?	No	$715	56.9¢	Lost
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?	Yes	$1.2k	81.4¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$4.3k	55.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	$2.8k	78.4¢	Won
James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	$24.1k	80.5¢	Won
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	$302	4.3¢	Lost
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	$975	48.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$34.3k	82.5¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	No	$3.2k	85.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$620	49.1¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$1.9k	49.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$100.3k	75.6¢	Won
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	$44.0k	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	$39.4k	69.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8.0k	68.7¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	Yes	$2.9k	35.4¢	Won
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	$8.6k	84.5¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	No	$14.0k	84.0¢	Won
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	$46.8k	86.4¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$20.7k	49.4¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$12.2k	37.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	$4.9k	88.7¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$7.4k	83.0¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$269	16.7¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	$40	41.1¢	Lost
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	$42.9k	81.5¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	$15.5k	65.9¢	Won
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	Inoue	$7.4k	84.1¢	Won
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$29.6k	85.2¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	$2.0k	80.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$18.0k	84.0¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	No	$5.1k	91.2¢	Won

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Won
No$7.4k @ 92.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Won
Yes$6.4k @ 77.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Won
No$7.0k @ 92.3¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Won
No$6.4k @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 78.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 83.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$1.4k @ 67.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$29.5k @ 80.2¢
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Won
No$753 @ 89.5¢
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovWon
Fury$21.7k @ 84.8¢
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
No$234 @ 78.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Lost
Yes$820 @ 64.9¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$65.6k @ 83.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$21.9k @ 80.5¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$8.0k @ 69.1¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$5.6k @ 56.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$36.7k @ 73.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?Won
Yes$37.3k @ 86.4¢
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?Lost
No$715 @ 56.9¢
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 81.4¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 55.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$2.8k @ 78.4¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Won
Yes$24.1k @ 80.5¢
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?Lost
Yes$302 @ 4.3¢
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenLost
Rico$975 @ 48.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$34.3k @ 82.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$3.2k @ 85.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
Yes$620 @ 49.1¢
US military action against Iran before July?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 49.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$100.3k @ 75.6¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
No$44.0k @ 88.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Lost
No$39.4k @ 69.4¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$8.0k @ 68.7¢
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 35.4¢
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Won
Yes$8.6k @ 84.5¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Won
No$14.0k @ 84.0¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?Won
No$46.8k @ 86.4¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$20.7k @ 49.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
Yes$12.2k @ 37.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Won
Yes$4.9k @ 88.7¢
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$7.4k @ 83.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Lost
Yes$269 @ 16.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Lost
No$40 @ 41.1¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Khamzat Chimaev$42.9k @ 81.5¢
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Won
Yes$15.5k @ 65.9¢
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto NakataniWon
Inoue$7.4k @ 84.1¢
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$29.6k @ 85.2¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Won
No$2.0k @ 80.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Lost
Yes$18.0k @ 84.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Won
No$5.1k @ 91.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6.0k	98.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$676	96.7¢

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$6.0k @ 98.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Politics
Yes$676 @ 96.7¢