← Smart money
0x8c77…4d42
SharpEdge
-5.4pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
27% @ 32.6¢
Brier
0.133
Resolved
698
Avg size
$184
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 33% (4/12) | -33% | 12 |
| Other | 64% (7/11) | +19% | 11 |
| Sports | 44% (4/9) | +55% | 9 |
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- -33%
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (7/11)
- ROI
- +19%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +55%
Track record
47% hit · 15/32- Yes$656 @ 38.2¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$12.9k @ 26.9¢
- Spurs$5.6k @ 41.7¢
- No$2.0k @ 12.9¢
- Knicks$35 @ 46.0¢
- Knicks vs. SpursLostSpurs$1.6k @ 33.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$20.0k @ 82.1¢
- Golden Knights$505 @ 49.1¢
- Hurricanes$116 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$620 @ 74.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 5.1¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 61.7¢
- Yes$9.2k @ 22.3¢
- Yes$71 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 14.0¢
- No$8.6k @ 74.8¢
- Australia$5 @ 11.0¢
- Juan Estevez$5.5k @ 42.8¢
- Matias Soto$5.6k @ 17.6¢
- Nick Hardt$2.8k @ 30.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 30.6¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 17.9¢
- No$3 @ 5.9¢
- No$6.2k @ 0.7¢
- Knicks$13.6k @ 33.6¢
- Juan Estevez$1.9k @ 21.9¢
- Thiago Cigarran$24 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$332 @ 67.2¢
- No$5.8k @ 60.6¢
- Yes$16.1k @ 79.6¢
- Yes$486 @ 21.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $6.9k | 66.3¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $33 | 30.0¢ |
- Yes$6.9k @ 66.3¢
- Yes$33 @ 30.0¢