0x8c64…4e93

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8c643b70f7a81d14dc86e238ea28b40d8a2a4e93
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.6pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

53% @ 41.4¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

134

Avg size

$49

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (19/38)	+28%	38
Sports	11% (1/9)	+32%	9
Tech	50% (1/2)	+12%	2

Other38 bets
Hit rate
50% (19/38)
ROI
+28%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
+32%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+12%

Track record

43% hit · 21/49

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	$38	10.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	$27	20.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	$11	8.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$40	32.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$182	65.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$176	44.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$58	15.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$295	41.3¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	5.3¢	Lost
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$181	77.4¢	Won
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$342	74.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$91	27.2¢	Lost
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$188	2.4¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$22	10.6¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	1.6¢	Lost
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$12	2.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?	Yes	$1.2k	62.5¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Warriors	Nuggets	$35	38.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Warriors	Warriors	$17	31.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$278	63.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	$21	14.6¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	$36	86.5¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$50	13.9¢	Won
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$159	2.6¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?	Yes	$14	15.6¢	Lost
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$100	39.0¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$91	23.4¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	$321	40.6¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$731	61.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 22?	No	$78	69.7¢	Won
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?	Yes	$43	18.6¢	Lost
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$73	9.1¢	Lost
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$30	35.9¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$100	67.8¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?	Yes	$62	35.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	$10	2.7¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?	Yes	$50	25.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	$422	76.0¢	Won
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	$32	72.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$36	44.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	$380	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?	Yes	$5	86.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Hawks	Hawks	$43	55.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	$59	59.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	$116	46.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	$48	77.2¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Lost
Yes$38 @ 10.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Lost
Yes$27 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Lost
Yes$11 @ 8.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Won
Yes$40 @ 32.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$182 @ 65.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$176 @ 44.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$58 @ 15.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$295 @ 41.3¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.3¢
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Won
Yes$181 @ 77.4¢
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?Won
Yes$342 @ 74.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$91 @ 27.2¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$188 @ 2.4¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$22 @ 10.6¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.6¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Lost
Yes$12 @ 2.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 62.5¢
Nuggets vs. WarriorsLost
Nuggets$35 @ 38.0¢
Nuggets vs. WarriorsWon
Warriors$17 @ 31.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
Yes$278 @ 63.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Lost
Yes$21 @ 14.6¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Won
Yes$36 @ 86.5¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$50 @ 13.9¢
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$159 @ 2.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Lost
Yes$14 @ 15.6¢
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 39.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$91 @ 23.4¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
No$321 @ 40.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
Yes$731 @ 61.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 22?Won
No$78 @ 69.7¢
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Lost
Yes$43 @ 18.6¢
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?Lost
Yes$73 @ 9.1¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 35.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 67.8¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?Lost
Yes$62 @ 35.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?Lost
Yes$50 @ 25.0¢
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Won
Yes$422 @ 76.0¢
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Won
Yes$32 @ 72.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$36 @ 44.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Won
Yes$380 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
Nets vs. HawksWon
Hawks$43 @ 55.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?Won
Yes$59 @ 59.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Won
Yes$116 @ 46.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Won
Yes$48 @ 77.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Other	Yes	$151	18.1¢

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Other
Yes$151 @ 18.1¢