← Smart money
0x8c0b…f0fb
ProfitableEdge
+23.9pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
82% @ 57.6¢
Brier
0.225
Resolved
92
Avg size
$192
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 71% (5/7) | +23% | 7 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +23%
Track record
71% hit · 5/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | $1.1k | 85.4¢ | Won |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | $5.0k | 84.1¢ | Won |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | No | $1.6k | 58.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Yes | $3.2k | 40.8¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | $1.3k | 53.4¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $3.0k | 82.2¢ | Won |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | Yes | $2.4k | 82.4¢ | Won |
- No$1.1k @ 85.4¢
- No$5.0k @ 84.1¢
- No$1.6k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 40.8¢
- No$1.3k @ 53.4¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 82.2¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 82.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.0k @ 42.0¢
- Yes$610 @ 97.3¢
- No$565 @ 75.4¢
- No$330 @ 73.0¢
- No$238 @ 95.1¢
- No$220 @ 87.9¢
- No$210 @ 84.1¢
- Yes$209 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 50.0¢
- No$135 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 65.8¢
- No$54 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 25.0¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4 @ 70.0¢