0x8b2a…17ae

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8b2aa7df9dc462f2be29bdef6cf7af3a0c0317ae
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.9pp

ROI

+119%

Win rate

28% @ 16.8¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

257

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	19% (20/107)	+136%	107
Science	25% (4/16)	+50%	16

Other107 bets
Hit rate
19% (20/107)
ROI
+136%
Science16 bets
Hit rate
25% (4/16)
ROI
+50%

Track record

20% hit · 24/123

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	$19	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 29?	Yes	$6	9.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	$64	27.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 26?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 13?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 24?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 24?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on March 27?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	$3	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 17?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 24?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 16?	Yes	$1	6.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 23?	Yes	$9	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 10?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?	Yes	$43	36.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 27?	Yes	$0	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?	Yes	$4	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 24?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?	Yes	$64	13.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 11?	Yes	$19	18.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 31?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Jeanne Shaheen vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?	Yes	$0	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 20?	Yes	$2	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 24?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 2?	Yes	$2	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?	Yes	$1	14.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 1?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 16?	Yes	$0	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 27?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	$15	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 30?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	$42	16.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 23?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$19 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 29?Won
Yes$6 @ 9.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$64 @ 27.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 13?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?Won
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?Won
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 23?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?Won
Yes$43 @ 36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 24?Won
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?Won
Yes$64 @ 13.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 11?Lost
Yes$19 @ 18.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Jeanne Shaheen vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 20?Won
Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$15 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?Won
Yes$42 @ 16.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 23?Won
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$38	38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$16	27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$12	12.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?Science
Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?Science
Yes$16 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 1?Science
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢