← Smart money
0x8b02…b95f
SharpEdge
+5.9pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
74% @ 68.3¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
1707
Avg size
$88
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 70% (343/491) | +5% | 491 |
| Sports | 58% (42/72) | -7% | 72 |
| Tech | 74% (14/19) | +39% | 19 |
| Politics | 44% (7/16) | -8% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (7/7) | +24% | 7 |
| Economy | 100% (3/3) | +9% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +22% | 3 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Other491 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (343/491)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports72 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (42/72)
- ROI
- -7%
- Tech19 bets
- Hit rate
- 74% (14/19)
- ROI
- +39%
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (7/16)
- ROI
- -8%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +24%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +9%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +22%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
69% hit · 420/612- No$95 @ 95.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.0¢
- No$308 @ 96.4¢
- No$172 @ 86.0¢
- No$60 @ 60.0¢
- No$98 @ 97.8¢
- No$171 @ 94.9¢
- No$486 @ 97.2¢
- Dplus KIA$530 @ 88.0¢
- Indiana Fever$25 @ 82.0¢
- Cavaliers$689 @ 86.1¢
- Suns vs. ThunderLostThunder$216 @ 72.0¢
- GAM Esports$53 @ 87.0¢
- Team Vitality$81 @ 81.0¢
- Kings$100 @ 59.0¢
- Pistons$204 @ 89.0¢
- Nuggets$167 @ 71.7¢
- Thunder$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 67.0¢
- Over$8 @ 84.0¢
- Celtics$680 @ 85.0¢
- HANJIN BRION$211 @ 79.1¢
- Nongshim Red Force$140 @ 46.1¢
- Hornets$1.3k @ 75.6¢
- Over$6 @ 63.0¢
- Kiwoom DRX$172 @ 85.5¢
- T1$64 @ 64.0¢
- Lakers$277 @ 49.3¢
- Over$164 @ 81.0¢
- Pistons vs. HeatLostPistons$332 @ 26.5¢
- Knicks$754 @ 62.8¢
- Thunder$2.1k @ 84.5¢
- Timberwolves$468 @ 78.0¢
- Over$30 @ 60.0¢
- Hanwha Life Esports$171 @ 85.0¢
- KT Rolster Challengers$192 @ 54.7¢
- T1 Academy$96 @ 85.7¢
- Lakers$125 @ 62.5¢
- JD Gaming$63 @ 63.0¢
- LGD Gaming$56 @ 55.0¢
- Hawks$228 @ 76.0¢
- Dplus KIA$88 @ 88.0¢
- Thunder$334 @ 89.1¢
- Spurs$100 @ 87.3¢
- Trail Blazers$1.5k @ 76.0¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
- No$16 @ 82.0¢
- Hawks$492 @ 82.0¢
- Lakers$158 @ 65.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$415 @ 83.0¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$348 @ 87.0¢
- No$344 @ 86.0¢
- No$344 @ 86.0¢
- No$291 @ 93.6¢
- No$270 @ 90.0¢
- No$186 @ 93.0¢
- No$172 @ 86.0¢
- No$165 @ 82.5¢
- No$163 @ 81.5¢
- No$158 @ 79.0¢
- No$156 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$156 @ 78.0¢
- No$148 @ 93.0¢
- No$144 @ 72.0¢
- No$102 @ 68.3¢
- Yes$95 @ 95.0¢
- No$95 @ 94.7¢
- Yes$94 @ 47.0¢
- No$90 @ 90.0¢
- No$89 @ 88.7¢
- Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$86 @ 86.0¢
- No$85 @ 85.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.0¢
- No$80 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 50.0¢
- No$75 @ 89.6¢
- No$72 @ 72.0¢
- No$70 @ 83.0¢