← Smart money
0x8ad8…41b6
SharpEdge
-19.5pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
7% @ 26.3¢
Brier
0.086
Resolved
220
Avg size
$295
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +31% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +31%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $13.8k | 20.4¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $39.2k | 21.5¢ | Lost |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $11.8k | 68.2¢ | Won |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $103 | 3.6¢ | Lost |
- No$13.8k @ 20.4¢
- Yes$39.2k @ 21.5¢
- Yes$11.8k @ 68.2¢
- Yes$103 @ 3.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $281 | 37.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Business | Yes | $173 | 23.0¢ |
- Yes$281 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$173 @ 23.0¢