← Smart money
0x8ad8…41b6
SharpEdge
-19.4pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
7% @ 26.2¢
Brier
0.085
Resolved
221
Avg size
$294
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +31% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +31%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $13.8k | 20.4¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $39.2k | 21.5¢ | Lost |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $11.8k | 68.2¢ | Won |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $103 | 3.6¢ | Lost |
- No$13.8k @ 20.4¢
- Yes$39.2k @ 21.5¢
- Yes$11.8k @ 68.2¢
- Yes$103 @ 3.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $320 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $295 | 14.7¢ |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | Politics | No | $21 | 26.9¢ |
- No$320 @ 16.0¢
- No$295 @ 14.7¢
- No$21 @ 26.9¢