0x8ace…6069

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8ace6b1016214876667444d2b3055065da996069
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.6pp

ROI

+30%

Win rate

55% @ 40.1¢

Brier

0.211

Resolved

896

Avg size

$58

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (44/96)	+36%	96
Politics	30% (3/10)	-48%	10
Sports	50% (2/4)	-68%	4
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-94%	4
Tech	100% (1/1)	+100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other96 bets
Hit rate
46% (44/96)
ROI
+36%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
-48%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-68%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-94%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 51/116

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Los Angeles Thieves	$201	86.0¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$150	56.7¢	Won
76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	$50	80.0¢	Won
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$802	88.5¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$51	29.4¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$334	8.5¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$50	51.1¢	Lost
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$155	7.7¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	FaZe Vegas	$232	76.0¢	Won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$611	10.1¢	Lost
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	OpTic Texas	$610	71.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	$100	55.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$80	40.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$300	57.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$670	79.7¢	Won
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	$879	10.5¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	$213	39.5¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$70	29.0¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$280	50.5¢	Lost
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?	No	$186	46.7¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$100	14.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	$231	89.2¢	Won
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?	No	$7.8k	41.6¢	Won
76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	$34	16.6¢	Lost
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$100	12.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$20	71.0¢	Won
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?	No	$891	38.7¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$100	85.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$420	46.3¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	OpTic Texas	$313	75.6¢	Won
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	$160	81.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	$430	55.4¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	$50	34.0¢	Won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$220	1.8¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	$505	41.6¢	Lost
Texans vs. Chargers	Texans	$100	48.0¢	Won
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	$122	6.2¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1.3k	58.1¢	Won
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Los Angeles Thieves	$100	65.0¢	Won
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$6.1k	49.9¢	Won
Rams vs. Falcons	Falcons	$744	52.6¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$20	7.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$250	48.6¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$101	62.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	$243	62.8¢	Lost
Will Los Angeles Rams draft Makai Lemon in the 2026 pro football draft?	No	$318	43.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$140	62.1¢	Won
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$45	39.5¢	Lost

Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers QualifiersWon
Los Angeles Thieves$201 @ 86.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Won
Yes$150 @ 56.7¢
76ers vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$50 @ 80.0¢
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
No$802 @ 88.5¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Lost
Rockets$51 @ 29.4¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$334 @ 8.5¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$50 @ 51.1¢
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$155 @ 7.7¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers Lost
Lakers$10 @ 8.0¢
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers QualifiersWon
FaZe Vegas$232 @ 76.0¢
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$611 @ 10.1¢
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers QualifiersWon
OpTic Texas$610 @ 71.0¢
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLost
Nuggets$100 @ 55.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$80 @ 40.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 57.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$670 @ 79.7¢
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Lost
No$879 @ 10.5¢
Timberwolves vs. SpursWon
Timberwolves$213 @ 39.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$70 @ 29.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$280 @ 50.5¢
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?Lost
No$186 @ 46.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 14.0¢
Thunder vs. LakersWon
Thunder$231 @ 89.2¢
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Won
No$7.8k @ 41.6¢
76ers vs. CelticsLost
Celtics$34 @ 16.6¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$100 @ 12.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$20 @ 71.0¢
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Lost
No$891 @ 38.7¢
Pistons vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$100 @ 85.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$420 @ 46.3¢
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers QualifiersWon
OpTic Texas$313 @ 75.6¢
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?Won
No$160 @ 81.0¢
Rockets vs. LakersLost
Rockets$430 @ 55.4¢
Warriors vs. ClippersWon
Warriors$50 @ 34.0¢
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$220 @ 1.8¢
Warriors vs. SunsLost
Warriors$505 @ 41.6¢
Texans vs. ChargersWon
Texans$100 @ 48.0¢
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Lost
Yes$122 @ 6.2¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 58.1¢
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers QualifiersWon
Los Angeles Thieves$100 @ 65.0¢
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$6.1k @ 49.9¢
Rams vs. FalconsWon
Falcons$744 @ 52.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.0¢
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$250 @ 48.6¢
Lakers vs. RocketsLost
Rockets$101 @ 62.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$243 @ 62.8¢
Will Los Angeles Rams draft Makai Lemon in the 2026 pro football draft?Won
No$318 @ 43.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$140 @ 62.1¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$45 @ 39.5¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?	Culture	Avengers: Doomsday	$1.3k	93.5¢
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$911	4.1¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$42	80.0¢

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Culture
Avengers: Doomsday$1.3k @ 93.5¢
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$911 @ 4.1¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$42 @ 80.0¢