0x8a92…8586

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8a9245eb0679238f1be4b99f09ae63b7c49d8586
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+32.0pp

ROI

+236%

Win rate

61% @ 29.4¢

Brier

0.302

Resolved

813

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	76% (335/443)	+256%	443
Science	74% (14/19)	+98%	19
Sports	53% (9/17)	+85%	17
Economy	60% (3/5)	+55%	5
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+104%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other443 bets
Hit rate
76% (335/443)
ROI
+256%
Science19 bets
Hit rate
74% (14/19)
ROI
+98%
Sports17 bets
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
ROI
+85%
Economy5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+55%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+104%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

74% hit · 362/488

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	No	$21	28.8¢	Lost
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	$14	41.2¢	Lost
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?	No	$7	20.0¢	Lost
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?	No	$5	52.2¢	Won
Game Handicap: KSG (-2.5) vs AG Super Play (+2.5)	KuaiShow Gaming	$2	1.6¢	Lost
IR Iran leading at halftime?	No	$7	28.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$0	16.3¢	Won
Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?	Yes	$5	53.5¢	Won
Redcar Town FC vs. Bridlington Town AFC: Redcar Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$21	8.7¢	Lost
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?	Yes	$40	36.8¢	Lost
Will Sepsi OSK win on 2026-08-29?	No	$14	22.0¢	Lost
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?	Yes	$19	15.0¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?	Over	$10	2.7¢	Won
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	40.9¢	Won
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $450-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	$7	25.0¢	Lost
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	$14	14.7¢	Won
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$7	50.0¢	Lost
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	$8	24.9¢	Lost
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group E	Orzeł Barcząca Esports	$5	45.1¢	Won
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$15	2.5¢	Lost
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	$7	17.0¢	Won
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$5	53.0¢	Won
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	$14	41.2¢	Won
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-2.5)	FC Botoşani	$1	35.2¢	Won
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	No	$7	2.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC?	No	$5	53.0¢	Won
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Yes	$27	3.4¢	Lost
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	$3	50.2¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?	No	$1	5.2¢	Won
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?	No	$30	65.9¢	Lost
Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)	SC Heerenveen	$7	25.0¢	Won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?	Over	$10	5.8¢	Lost
Game Handicap: TLPH (-1.5) vs Team Falcons PH (+1.5)	Team Falcons PH	$5	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Baltimore Orioles	$1	29.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on March 17?	No	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?	No	$5	57.4¢	Won
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	No	$5	51.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?	No	$5	41.1¢	Won
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?	No	$3	75.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	50.3¢	Won
Athletic Club leading at halftime?	No	$14	41.2¢	Won
Will Arnaud De Lie win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	No	$7	34.6¢	Won
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	$0	9.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	$28	16.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A	AaB esport	$15	33.3¢	Won
KAA Gent leading at halftime?	No	$3	28.0¢	Won
Will Tim Van Dijke win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	No	$0	13.5¢	Won
Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?	No	$2	41.9¢	Won
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	$5	52.6¢	Won
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	$3	18.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?Lost
No$21 @ 28.8¢
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?Lost
No$14 @ 41.2¢
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?Lost
No$7 @ 20.0¢
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Won
No$5 @ 52.2¢
Game Handicap: KSG (-2.5) vs AG Super Play (+2.5)Lost
KuaiShow Gaming$2 @ 1.6¢
IR Iran leading at halftime?Won
No$7 @ 28.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$0 @ 16.3¢
Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?Won
Yes$5 @ 53.5¢
Redcar Town FC vs. Bridlington Town AFC: Redcar Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$21 @ 8.7¢
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?Lost
Yes$40 @ 36.8¢
Will Sepsi OSK win on 2026-08-29?Lost
No$14 @ 22.0¢
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$19 @ 15.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Won
Over$10 @ 2.7¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$7 @ 40.9¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $450-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?Lost
No$7 @ 25.0¢
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Won
No$14 @ 14.7¢
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 50.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?Lost
Yes$8 @ 24.9¢
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EWon
Orzeł Barcząca Esports$5 @ 45.1¢
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.5¢
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Won
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$5 @ 53.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Won
Yes$14 @ 41.2¢
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-2.5)Won
FC Botoşani$1 @ 35.2¢
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?Lost
No$7 @ 2.9¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC?Won
No$5 @ 53.0¢
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Lost
Yes$27 @ 3.4¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of April 20 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.2¢
Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?Won
No$1 @ 5.2¢
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?Lost
No$30 @ 65.9¢
Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)Won
SC Heerenveen$7 @ 25.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Lost
Over$10 @ 5.8¢
Game Handicap: TLPH (-1.5) vs Team Falcons PH (+1.5)Won
Team Falcons PH$5 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Won
Baltimore Orioles$1 @ 29.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on March 17?Won
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 57.4¢
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Won
No$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 41.1¢
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?Lost
No$3 @ 75.0¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.3¢
Athletic Club leading at halftime?Won
No$14 @ 41.2¢
Will Arnaud De Lie win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?Won
No$7 @ 34.6¢
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerWon
Power Rangers$0 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?Won
Yes$28 @ 16.2¢
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group AWon
AaB esport$15 @ 33.3¢
KAA Gent leading at halftime?Won
No$3 @ 28.0¢
Will Tim Van Dijke win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?Won
No$0 @ 13.5¢
Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?Won
No$2 @ 41.9¢
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Won
Yes$5 @ 52.6¢
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Lost
Odd$3 @ 18.0¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Science	No	$21	28.8¢

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?Science
No$21 @ 28.8¢