0x8a51…51a2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8a5189f973df5e33ada6aefea1dca23ce5a451a2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.0pp

ROI

+84%

Win rate

51% @ 43.1¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

513

Avg size

$12

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	54% (42/78)	-5%	78
Science	50% (32/64)	+724%	64
Crypto	32% (17/53)	-2%	53
Other	49% (19/39)	+251%	39
Culture	56% (20/36)	+44%	36
Politics	53% (17/32)	+15%	32
Tech	54% (7/13)	+21%	13
Business	20% (2/10)	-78%	10
Economy	38% (3/8)	+63%	8
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	+45%	4

Sports78 bets
Hit rate
54% (42/78)
ROI
-5%
Science64 bets
Hit rate
50% (32/64)
ROI
+724%
Crypto53 bets
Hit rate
32% (17/53)
ROI
-2%
Other39 bets
Hit rate
49% (19/39)
ROI
+251%
Culture36 bets
Hit rate
56% (20/36)
ROI
+44%
Politics32 bets
Hit rate
53% (17/32)
ROI
+15%
Tech13 bets
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
ROI
+21%
Business10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
-78%
Economy8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
+63%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+45%

Track record

48% hit · 161/337

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6?	Yes	$113	91.0¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 6?	Yes	$59	95.5¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 6?	No	$1	2.0¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on October 6?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	$2	41.0¢	Lost
Will Gustavo Mendanha win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	No	$6	35.0¢	Lost
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	No	$15	37.0¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 28?	No	$4	43.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 25?	No	$26	36.1¢	Lost
Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	$19	54.0¢	Lost
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$13	59.8¢	Lost
Spread: Chargers (-5.5)	Chargers	$13	10.0¢	Lost
Miguel Vargas: Total Bases O/U 1.5	Over	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 350k?	No	$10	46.0¢	Won
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 350k?	Yes	$6	23.0¢	Lost
Josh Naylor: Total Bases O/U 1.5	Over	$4	39.0¢	Lost
New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart: O/U 49.5	Over	$19	39.9¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $112 in September?	No	$21	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 25?	No	$5	46.0¢	Lost
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24?	No	$14	52.1¢	Won
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$14	37.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 27?	No	$18	17.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above 2,700 on September 27, 12PM ET?	No	$17	85.5¢	Won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5	Over	$20	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?	No	$13	38.9¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 28?	No	$6	11.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bears (-1.5)	Bears	$34	52.8¢	Won
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	$25	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?	No	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	$12	60.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 28?	Yes	$0	10.0¢	Lost
Will “Where Is My Husband!” by Raye win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$12	55.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23?	No	$9	50.0¢	Won
Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Yainer Diaz: Total Bases O/U 1.5	Over	$6	54.0¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on September 29?	No	$23	45.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?	No	$46	86.2¢	Won
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?	No	$5	39.0¢	Won
Spread: Packers (-10.5)	Buccaneers	$41	64.0¢	Won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	FC Barcelona	$11	37.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	$3	4.9¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 29?	Yes	$4	7.7¢	Lost
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?	Yes	$3	3.4¢	Lost
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	$1	14.0¢	Won

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6?Lost
Yes$113 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 6?Lost
Yes$59 @ 95.5¢
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 6?Won
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on October 6?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 41.0¢
Will Gustavo Mendanha win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 35.0¢
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Won
No$15 @ 37.0¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 28?Lost
No$4 @ 43.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 25?Lost
No$26 @ 36.1¢
Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Lost
No$19 @ 54.0¢
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Lost
No$13 @ 59.8¢
Spread: Chargers (-5.5)Lost
Chargers$13 @ 10.0¢
Miguel Vargas: Total Bases O/U 1.5Lost
Over$5 @ 48.0¢
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 350k?Won
No$10 @ 46.0¢
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 350k?Lost
Yes$6 @ 23.0¢
Josh Naylor: Total Bases O/U 1.5Lost
Over$4 @ 39.0¢
New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart: O/U 49.5Lost
Over$19 @ 39.9¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $112 in September?Won
No$21 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 25?Lost
No$5 @ 46.0¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Lost
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24?Won
No$14 @ 52.1¢
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 37.9¢
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 27?Lost
No$18 @ 17.0¢
Ethereum above 2,700 on September 27, 12PM ET?Won
No$17 @ 85.5¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Lost
Over$20 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?Won
No$13 @ 38.9¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 28?Lost
No$6 @ 11.0¢
Spread: Bears (-1.5)Won
Bears$34 @ 52.8¢
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
No$25 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?Lost
No$3 @ 13.0¢
Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
No$12 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 10.0¢
Will “Where Is My Husband!” by Raye win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$12 @ 55.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23?Won
No$9 @ 50.0¢
Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of September 28 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Yainer Diaz: Total Bases O/U 1.5Won
Over$6 @ 54.0¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on September 29?Won
No$23 @ 45.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?Won
No$46 @ 86.2¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?Won
No$5 @ 39.0¢
Spread: Packers (-10.5)Won
Buccaneers$41 @ 64.0¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)Lost
FC Barcelona$11 @ 37.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.9¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.7¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Won
No$1 @ 14.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6?	Crypto	Yes	$113	91.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 6?	Crypto	Yes	$59	95.5¢
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$59	96.2¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 8?	Crypto	Yes	$58	94.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8?	Crypto	Yes	$58	94.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$57	89.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 8?	Crypto	Yes	$57	95.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 7?	Crypto	Yes	$57	95.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 7?	Crypto	Yes	$57	92.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 9?	Crypto	Yes	$57	92.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 9?	Crypto	Yes	$56	90.0¢
Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$52	92.3¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$52	81.3¢
Will Aaron Rodgers have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	Yes	$48	50.8¢
Will Jaxson Dart have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$48	96.1¢
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	Culture	Yes	$46	92.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	Other	Yes	$45	72.0¢
Will Brock Purdy have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	Yes	$44	80.0¢
Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$43	44.8¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$38	61.0¢
Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$35	54.0¢
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$33	52.0¢
Will De'Von Achane have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$33	94.9¢
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?	Culture	Yes	$29	95.7¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	Crypto	No	$29	95.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?	Other	No	$27	93.0¢
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$27	41.6¢
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$23	58.0¢
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$23	61.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?	Other	No	$22	43.0¢

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6?Crypto
Yes$113 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 6?Crypto
Yes$59 @ 95.5¢
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$59 @ 96.2¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 8?Crypto
Yes$58 @ 94.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8?Crypto
Yes$58 @ 94.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto
No$57 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 8?Crypto
Yes$57 @ 95.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 7?Crypto
Yes$57 @ 95.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 7?Crypto
Yes$57 @ 92.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 9?Crypto
Yes$57 @ 92.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 9?Crypto
Yes$56 @ 90.0¢
Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$52 @ 92.3¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$52 @ 81.3¢
Will Aaron Rodgers have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
Yes$48 @ 50.8¢
Will Jaxson Dart have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$48 @ 96.1¢
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?Culture
Yes$46 @ 92.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?Other
Yes$45 @ 72.0¢
Will Brock Purdy have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
Yes$44 @ 80.0¢
Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$43 @ 44.8¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?Other
Yes$38 @ 61.0¢
Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$35 @ 54.0¢
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$33 @ 52.0¢
Will De'Von Achane have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$33 @ 94.9¢
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?Culture
Yes$29 @ 95.7¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Crypto
No$29 @ 95.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Other
No$27 @ 93.0¢
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto
No$27 @ 41.6¢
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$23 @ 58.0¢
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?Tech
Yes$23 @ 61.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?Other
No$22 @ 43.0¢