← Smart money
0x8a4e…b38c
ProfitableEdge
+5.3pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
53% @ 48.2¢
Brier
0.221
Resolved
3908
Avg size
$10
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (998/1817) | +5% | 1817 |
| Politics | 63% (31/49) | +38% | 49 |
| Sports | 35% (11/31) | -32% | 31 |
| Culture | 67% (2/3) | +25% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +33% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +82% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Other1817 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (998/1817)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics49 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (31/49)
- ROI
- +38%
- Sports31 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (11/31)
- ROI
- -32%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +25%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +33%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +82%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
55% hit · 1047/1905- Yes$6 @ 51.0¢
- No$48 @ 12.5¢
- No$7 @ 49.6¢
- Yes$28 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 56.6¢
- No$1 @ 50.0¢
- No$30 @ 50.0¢
- No$14 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 49.1¢
- Gen.G$15 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$243 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$21 @ 52.0¢
- Kalinskaya$3 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 40.0¢
- No$10 @ 3.1¢
- No$17 @ 84.0¢
- No$24 @ 53.6¢
- Yes$17 @ 55.0¢
- No$8 @ 82.0¢
- No$0 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 52.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 58.8¢
- No$20 @ 25.5¢
- No$35 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$22 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
- No$7 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
- Hanwha Life Esports Challengers$8 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 53.0¢
- No$45 @ 48.4¢
- No$10 @ 40.0¢
- No$63 @ 36.9¢
- No$30 @ 30.0¢
- No$32 @ 71.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
- No$100 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$71 @ 49.8¢
- No$7 @ 51.0¢
- T1$10 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 48.9¢
- No$20 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
- No$18 @ 43.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will Trump say "Truck" or "Trucker" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?PoliticsNo$53 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 41.0¢
- No$13 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 55.0¢