0x8a19…073d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8a19890daccd81dc8eab48ea8a311d2a801e073d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.1pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

50% @ 46.7¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

1239

Avg size

$20

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (263/540)	+6%	540
Politics	44% (4/9)	-18%	9
Science	88% (7/8)	+26%	8
Tech	67% (2/3)	+7%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	-53%	2

Other540 bets
Hit rate
49% (263/540)
ROI
+6%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-18%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+26%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+7%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-53%

Track record

49% hit · 277/562

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 19?	Yes	$2	6.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 29?	Yes	$4	24.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 26?	Yes	$19	32.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on January 23?	No	$4	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on January 23?	Yes	$7	34.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?	No	$31	89.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?	No	$304	71.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?	No	$90	55.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?	Yes	$243	77.3¢	Won
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	No	$20	87.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group A	Galorys	$22	83.7¢	Won
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	No	$34	68.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 26?	Yes	$0	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 1?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Won
Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	$6	57.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	$15	33.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 25?	Yes	$46	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	$101	83.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 1?	No	$8	84.1¢	Won
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$15	24.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?	No	$51	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	$61	82.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 3?	No	$36	79.2¢	Won
Will "Drone" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?	Yes	$18	88.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$17	87.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?	Yes	$12	52.9¢	Lost
Will "Retake" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$71	88.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group A	ENJOY	$6	21.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group A	VP.Prodigy	$13	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16?	Yes	$86	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?	No	$167	88.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	$45	23.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on January 23?	Yes	$15	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?	Yes	$16	10.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	No	$50	89.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 1?	No	$16	89.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	$61	69.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?	No	$80	86.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 30?	No	$19	45.5¢	Won
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$21	3.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	$10	26.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 23?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	$92	29.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?	No	$21	30.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 26?	No	$25	84.0¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$27	88.0¢	Won
Will J.D. Vance say "Baby" or "Pregnant" in Ohio on Thursday?	Yes	$6	60.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	$40	24.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14?	Yes	$73	63.8¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 24.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 26?Lost
Yes$19 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on January 23?Won
No$4 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on January 23?Lost
Yes$7 @ 34.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?Won
No$31 @ 89.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?Won
No$304 @ 71.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?Lost
No$90 @ 55.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?Won
Yes$243 @ 77.3¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Won
No$20 @ 87.4¢
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group AWon
Galorys$22 @ 83.7¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Won
No$34 @ 68.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 1?Won
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Won
Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 33.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 25?Lost
Yes$46 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?Won
Yes$101 @ 83.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 1?Won
No$8 @ 84.1¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$15 @ 24.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?Won
No$51 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?Won
No$61 @ 82.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 3?Won
No$36 @ 79.2¢
Will "Drone" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?Lost
Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Won
No$17 @ 87.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?Lost
Yes$12 @ 52.9¢
Will "Retake" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Won
Yes$71 @ 88.8¢
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group AWon
ENJOY$6 @ 21.2¢
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group ALost
VP.Prodigy$13 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16?Lost
Yes$86 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?Won
No$167 @ 88.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 26?Lost
Yes$45 @ 23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on January 23?Won
Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?Lost
Yes$16 @ 10.8¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Won
No$50 @ 89.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 1?Won
No$16 @ 89.0¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerLost
Sinners$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?Lost
Yes$61 @ 69.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?Won
No$80 @ 86.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 30?Won
No$19 @ 45.5¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
No$21 @ 3.5¢
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 PlayoffsLost
Team Nemesis$10 @ 26.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 23?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?Won
Yes$92 @ 29.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?Won
No$21 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 26?Won
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$27 @ 88.0¢
Will J.D. Vance say "Baby" or "Pregnant" in Ohio on Thursday?Won
Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 24.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14?Won
Yes$73 @ 63.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?	Science	No	$634	99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Science	Yes	$499	98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	Science	No	$361	98.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$301	12.9¢
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	—	Yes	$200	97.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?	Science	No	$147	97.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on October 2?	Science	No	$130	99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?	Science	No	$113	99.9¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026?	Tech	No	$110	99.1¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$104	99.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	Politics	No	$24	96.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?Science
No$634 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?Science
Yes$499 @ 98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?Science
No$361 @ 98.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
Yes$301 @ 12.9¢
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?—
Yes$200 @ 97.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?Science
No$147 @ 97.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on October 2?Science
No$130 @ 99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?Science
No$113 @ 99.9¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026?Tech
No$110 @ 99.1¢
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?Tech
No$104 @ 99.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Politics
No$24 @ 96.0¢