0x89f0…1e62

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x89f0a333cda79fccc920dc0f003823e9bece1e62
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

53% @ 43.5¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

2521

Avg size

$89

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (148/326)	-8%	326
Tech	23% (11/48)	-4%	48
Politics	23% (8/35)	+0%	35
Sports	52% (12/23)	+36%	23
Geopolitics	24% (5/21)	+19%	21
Culture	30% (6/20)	-18%	20
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-10%	2

Other326 bets
Hit rate
45% (148/326)
ROI
-8%
Tech48 bets
Hit rate
23% (11/48)
ROI
-4%
Politics35 bets
Hit rate
23% (8/35)
ROI
+0%
Sports23 bets
Hit rate
52% (12/23)
ROI
+36%
Geopolitics21 bets
Hit rate
24% (5/21)
ROI
+19%
Culture20 bets
Hit rate
30% (6/20)
ROI
-18%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-10%

Track record

40% hit · 191/475

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Chuk Anyanwu come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	$7	7.5¢	Lost
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	6.5¢	Lost
Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	$26	31.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	$2	86.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Wizards	Thunder	$3	89.0¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$14	68.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Knicks	Hornets	$75	86.0¢	Won
Will Drake feature Chris Brown on ICEMAN?	Yes	$19	46.5¢	Lost
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers	UMBC Retrievers	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$16	80.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Knicks	Celtics	$576	38.0¢	Lost
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	Yes	$38	73.7¢	Lost
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartans	Michigan State Spartans	$3	82.0¢	Won
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	3.7¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Celtics	$4	49.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$50.8k	72.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7.0k	41.1¢	Lost
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$8	41.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$49	43.0¢	Won
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans	UNCG Spartans	$1	74.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$118	58.8¢	Won
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	$147	73.5¢	Lost
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal	Stanford Cardinal	$1	70.0¢	Lost
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	$3	8.5¢	Lost
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?	No	$4	22.0¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$9	44.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of March 30 2026?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	$8	15.0¢	Lost
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	5.3¢	Lost
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	$813	75.9¢	Lost
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	Yes	$43	27.4¢	Lost
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?	No	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Bulls	Thunder	$2	80.0¢	Won
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden Flashes	Kent State Golden Flashes	$2	84.0¢	Won
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	$17	86.0¢	Lost
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$7	17.5¢	Won
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5	Over	$10	48.0¢	Won
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5	Under	$2	50.0¢	Lost
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	$1	38.4¢	Lost
Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks	Miami (OH) RedHawks	$3	81.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	$87	62.1¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	$17	43.5¢	Lost
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?	No	$17	87.0¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Israel Adesanya	$57	57.0¢	Lost
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears	Morgan State Bears	$1	66.0¢	Lost

Will Chuk Anyanwu come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.5¢
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.5¢
Suns vs. ThunderWon
Suns$26 @ 31.0¢
Pistons vs. WizardsWon
Pistons$2 @ 86.0¢
Thunder vs. WizardsWon
Thunder$3 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$14 @ 68.0¢
Hornets vs. KnicksWon
Hornets$75 @ 86.0¢
Will Drake feature Chris Brown on ICEMAN?Lost
Yes$19 @ 46.5¢
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC RetrieversWon
UMBC Retrievers$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Celtics vs. KnicksLost
Celtics$576 @ 38.0¢
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$38 @ 73.7¢
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State SpartansWon
Michigan State Spartans$3 @ 82.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.7¢
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Lost
Celtics$4 @ 49.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$50.8k @ 72.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$7.0k @ 41.1¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Won
Yes$8 @ 41.0¢
Suns vs. LakersWon
Lakers$49 @ 43.0¢
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG SpartansWon
UNCG Spartans$1 @ 74.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$118 @ 58.8¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Lost
No$147 @ 73.5¢
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford CardinalLost
Stanford Cardinal$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.5¢
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Lost
No$4 @ 22.0¢
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$9 @ 44.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of March 30 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Lost
No$8 @ 15.0¢
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 5.3¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Lost
No$813 @ 75.9¢
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Lost
No$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?Lost
Yes$43 @ 27.4¢
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?Lost
No$5 @ 25.0¢
Thunder vs. BullsWon
Thunder$2 @ 80.0¢
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden FlashesWon
Kent State Golden Flashes$2 @ 84.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Lost
No$17 @ 86.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$7 @ 17.5¢
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Won
Over$10 @ 48.0¢
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Lost
Under$2 @ 50.0¢
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 38.4¢
Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksWon
Miami (OH) RedHawks$3 @ 81.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?Won
No$87 @ 62.1¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?Lost
Yes$17 @ 43.5¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?Lost
No$17 @ 87.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Israel Adesanya$57 @ 57.0¢
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State BearsLost
Morgan State Bears$1 @ 66.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	Tech	No	$70	93.0¢
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$31	61.0¢
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$19	38.0¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	No	$15	14.8¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$14	7.0¢
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	Yes	$12	12.0¢
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$9	23.0¢
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$8	41.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$8	98.3¢
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	Politics	No	$6	96.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	No	$5	97.6¢
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4	15.5¢
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	11.0¢

Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Tech
No$70 @ 93.0¢
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
No$31 @ 61.0¢
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$19 @ 38.0¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
No$15 @ 14.8¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$8 @ 41.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$8 @ 98.3¢
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Politics
No$6 @ 96.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
No$5 @ 97.6¢
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 15.5¢
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢