0x88e2…7489

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+13.0pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

50% @ 37.2¢

Brier

0.237

Resolved

2231

Avg size

$452

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (34/95)	+93%	95
Politics	44% (31/71)	+17%	71
Geopolitics	50% (11/22)	-14%	22
Sports	33% (1/3)	+51%	3

Other95 bets
Hit rate
36% (34/95)
ROI
+93%
Politics71 bets
Hit rate
44% (31/71)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics22 bets
Hit rate
50% (11/22)
ROI
-14%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+51%

Track record

40% hit · 77/191

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$899	46.6¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$3.1k	31.4¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$3.0k	60.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$419	11.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$600	8.0¢	Lost
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$500	20.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$67.4k	85.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$57.3k	22.2¢	Lost
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$94	11.0¢	Lost
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$12.4k	43.5¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$8.9k	74.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$8.2k	24.9¢	Lost
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$859	73.6¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	Yes	$17	6.5¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$36	5.5¢	Lost
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$579	84.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$320	47.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$16.0k	13.3¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$8.8k	53.3¢	Won
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	$33	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$4	3.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$2.7k	89.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$13.0k	64.1¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$131	4.6¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$9.4k	88.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$309	33.0¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$30	82.0¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$3.2k	79.8¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$134	7.5¢	Won
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$1	65.0¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$973	61.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$4.8k	8.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$481	16.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$2.6k	37.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$56.3k	87.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$30.4k	30.4¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	$210	2.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$300	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$31.1k	81.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$5.2k	15.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	$276	10.8¢	Lost
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	$24	16.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$15.8k	20.1¢	Lost
Tigers vs. Pirates	Pirates	$55	55.0¢	Won
Giants vs. Braves	Giants	$47	47.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$724	58.8¢	Lost
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?	Yes	$26	1.9¢	Lost
Padres vs. Marlins	Marlins	$112	56.0¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	$611	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$10.1k	7.7¢	Won

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$899 @ 46.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 31.4¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 60.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$419 @ 11.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$600 @ 8.0¢
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$500 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$67.4k @ 85.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$57.3k @ 22.2¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$94 @ 11.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$12.4k @ 43.5¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$8.9k @ 74.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$8.2k @ 24.9¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Won
No$859 @ 73.6¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?Won
Yes$17 @ 6.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$36 @ 5.5¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$579 @ 84.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$320 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$16.0k @ 13.3¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$8.8k @ 53.3¢
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?Lost
Yes$33 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$2.7k @ 89.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$13.0k @ 64.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$131 @ 4.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Won
No$9.4k @ 88.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$309 @ 33.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 82.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$3.2k @ 79.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$134 @ 7.5¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$973 @ 61.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 8.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$481 @ 16.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 37.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$56.3k @ 87.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$30.4k @ 30.4¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Lost
No$210 @ 2.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$300 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$31.1k @ 81.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$5.2k @ 15.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Lost
No$276 @ 10.8¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Lost
Yes$24 @ 16.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$15.8k @ 20.1¢
Tigers vs. PiratesWon
Pirates$55 @ 55.0¢
Giants vs. BravesLost
Giants$47 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$724 @ 58.8¢
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 1.9¢
Padres vs. MarlinsLost
Marlins$112 @ 56.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Lost
No$611 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$10.1k @ 7.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$45.9k	89.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$36.1k	95.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$24.6k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$24.6k	50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$11.7k	88.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$10.1k	84.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$9.1k	64.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$8.3k	83.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$7.5k	64.4¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	No	$4.4k	70.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$4.3k	88.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$4.3k	78.4¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$4.2k	86.4¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	Politics	No	$3.2k	79.9¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$2.7k	61.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Politics	No	$2.7k	90.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.1k	74.0¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$915	61.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$600	12.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$476	16.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	Politics	No	$223	90.8¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$165	33.0¢
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$63	0.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$41	48.0¢
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$28	49.2¢
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Politics	Yes	$20	0.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Politics	No	$14	2.7¢
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5	6.5¢
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$3	66.0¢
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$3	5.2¢

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$45.9k @ 89.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$36.1k @ 95.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$24.6k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$24.6k @ 50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$11.7k @ 88.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Geopolitics
No$10.1k @ 84.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolitics
No$9.1k @ 64.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$8.3k @ 83.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$7.5k @ 64.4¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
No$4.4k @ 70.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$4.3k @ 88.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$4.3k @ 78.4¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$4.2k @ 86.4¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics
No$3.2k @ 79.9¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$2.7k @ 61.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics
No$2.7k @ 90.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
No$2.1k @ 74.0¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$915 @ 61.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$600 @ 12.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
Yes$476 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics
No$223 @ 90.8¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics
Yes$165 @ 33.0¢
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$63 @ 0.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$41 @ 48.0¢
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$28 @ 49.2¢
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics
Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics
No$14 @ 2.7¢
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
Yes$5 @ 6.5¢
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Geopolitics
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$3 @ 5.2¢