0x88aa…ea6f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x88aa565554ca0d3f2d5c9be4f8e0b9d8b8c6ea6f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.9pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

56% @ 51.0¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

603

Avg size

$145

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (90/167)	+12%	167
Crypto	60% (6/10)	-62%	10
Politics	100% (3/3)	+36%	3
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other167 bets
Hit rate
54% (90/167)
ROI
+12%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
-62%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+36%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 99/181

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Kentucky Wildcats	$101	33.0¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Kolkata Knight Riders	$62	31.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$168	67.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$355	20.9¢	Won
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5	Under	$8	51.0¢	Won
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	$216	78.5¢	Lost
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	$19	86.0¢	Won
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	$62	68.0¢	Won
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	$174	87.0¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$161	79.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$93	84.3¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$117	39.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?	No	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	No	$5	1.5¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$158	79.0¢	Won
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$507	88.9¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $700 on April 23?	Yes	$322	87.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$410	81.9¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	$73	83.0¢	Won
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)	Pakistan	$75	15.0¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$395	53.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	$178	88.8¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$280	56.0¢	Won
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$311	87.8¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$51	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?	No	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	Kolkata Knight Riders	$230	40.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	$179	36.6¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	$40	40.0¢	Won
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	$40	72.5¢	Won
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	$443	88.6¢	Won
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1.7k	86.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	$60	29.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$61	60.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	77.6¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$21	41.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$178	89.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	$17	87.0¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Punjab Kings	$94	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 21?	No	$146	71.5¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings	Chennai Super Kings	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	$38	38.0¢	Won
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$74	61.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	$254	88.7¢	Won

OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesLost
Kentucky Wildcats$101 @ 33.0¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadLost
Kolkata Knight Riders$62 @ 31.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$168 @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$355 @ 20.9¢
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5Won
Under$8 @ 51.0¢
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$216 @ 78.5¢
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?Won
No$19 @ 86.0¢
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
Yes$62 @ 68.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Lost
No$174 @ 87.0¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
Yes$161 @ 79.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$93 @ 84.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$117 @ 39.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?Lost
No$17 @ 17.0¢
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Lost
No$5 @ 1.5¢
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$158 @ 79.0¢
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$507 @ 88.9¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $700 on April 23?Won
Yes$322 @ 87.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Lost
Yes$410 @ 81.9¢
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat TitansLost
Gujarat Titans$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Won
No$73 @ 83.0¢
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)Lost
Pakistan$75 @ 15.0¢
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super KingsWon
Sunrisers Hyderabad$395 @ 53.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Lost
Yes$178 @ 88.8¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$280 @ 56.0¢
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Won
No$311 @ 87.8¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$51 @ 11.0¢
Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?Lost
No$0 @ 1.3¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan RoyalsWon
Kolkata Knight Riders$230 @ 40.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Won
Yes$179 @ 36.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
No$40 @ 40.0¢
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?Won
Yes$40 @ 72.5¢
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$443 @ 88.6¢
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Won
Yes$60 @ 29.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$61 @ 60.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 77.6¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$21 @ 41.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super GiantsLost
Lucknow Super Giants$28 @ 28.0¢
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super GiantsWon
Punjab Kings$94 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 21?Lost
No$146 @ 71.5¢
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab KingsLost
Chennai Super Kings$28 @ 28.0¢
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab KingsWon
Punjab Kings$38 @ 38.0¢
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
Yes$74 @ 61.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
Yes$254 @ 88.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	90.6¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	Crypto	No	$799	98.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	Other	No	$670	95.7¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$190	86.0¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in September?	Crypto	No	$173	99.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	Crypto	No	$159	99.0¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.02 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$143	85.9¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	Crypto	No	$97	97.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	Other	No	$91	91.0¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$90	82.0¢
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$87	91.3¢
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$83	77.0¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$78	67.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	Crypto	No	$73	88.0¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$72	90.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$71	83.1¢
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$65	65.0¢
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$65	93.5¢
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$60	72.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $20 in September?	Crypto	No	$49	98.0¢
Will Chainlink dip to $6 in September?	Crypto	No	$49	98.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $22 in September?	Crypto	No	$49	98.0¢
Will BNB dip to $300 in September?	Crypto	No	$49	98.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?	Other	No	$29	94.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Tech	No	$29	97.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	Other	No	$28	94.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$25	92.0¢
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$24	89.0¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$19	63.0¢
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$17	85.3¢

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 90.6¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?Crypto
No$799 @ 98.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?Other
No$670 @ 95.7¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?Crypto
No$190 @ 86.0¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in September?Crypto
No$173 @ 99.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?Crypto
No$159 @ 99.0¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.02 before 2027?Crypto
No$143 @ 85.9¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?Crypto
No$97 @ 97.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?Other
No$91 @ 91.0¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027?Crypto
No$90 @ 82.0¢
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto
No$87 @ 91.3¢
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?Crypto
Yes$83 @ 77.0¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto
No$78 @ 67.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?Crypto
No$73 @ 88.0¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$72 @ 90.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$71 @ 83.1¢
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto
No$65 @ 93.5¢
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?Crypto
No$60 @ 72.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $20 in September?Crypto
No$49 @ 98.0¢
Will Chainlink dip to $6 in September?Crypto
No$49 @ 98.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $22 in September?Crypto
No$49 @ 98.0¢
Will BNB dip to $300 in September?Crypto
No$49 @ 98.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?Other
No$29 @ 94.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech
No$29 @ 97.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?Other
No$28 @ 94.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?Crypto
No$25 @ 92.0¢
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
No$24 @ 89.0¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$19 @ 63.0¢
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Crypto
No$17 @ 85.3¢