0x8822…b769

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x88224edef932367b1605dd8bfc3725382afeb769
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.4pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

43% @ 31.9¢

Brier

0.126

Resolved

127

Avg size

$38

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	31% (11/36)	-13%	36
Politics	8% (2/25)	+45%	25
Sports	9% (1/11)	-78%	11
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other36 bets
Hit rate
31% (11/36)
ROI
-13%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
8% (2/25)
ROI
+45%
Sports11 bets
Hit rate
9% (1/11)
ROI
-78%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 14/75

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$8	25.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?	Yes	$10	10.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$82	27.4¢	Lost
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$3	44.0¢	Lost
Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	4.6¢	Lost
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$17	51.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$19	3.1¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$4	6.0¢	Lost
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	$5	13.5¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$5	16.2¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 13?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Lost
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$16	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$1	3.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	$2.3k	63.7¢	Won
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$92	40.6¢	Lost
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	$8	7.0¢	Lost
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Won
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$1	3.2¢	Lost
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?	No	$3	5.4¢	Lost
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?	Yes	$10	23.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?	No	$3	71.7¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$11	39.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 13?	Yes	$10	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?	No	$1	59.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$56	51.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$15	46.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	4.7¢	Lost
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$10	25.7¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$21	50.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	$5	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?	No	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	$28	2.6¢	Lost
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	$1.7k	63.7¢	Won
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	$21	18.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?	No	$1	69.0¢	Lost
Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$19	1.8¢	Lost

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$8 @ 25.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$82 @ 27.4¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 44.0¢
Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Won
Yes$17 @ 51.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Won
Under$5 @ 13.5¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 16.2¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$16 @ 2.0¢
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
No$2.3k @ 63.7¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$92 @ 40.6¢
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Won
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.2¢
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Lost
No$3 @ 5.4¢
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?Won
No$3 @ 71.7¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWon
Switzerland$11 @ 39.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?Won
No$1 @ 59.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$56 @ 51.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$15 @ 46.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceLost
Belgium$10 @ 25.7¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$21 @ 50.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Lost
No$5 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?Lost
No$1 @ 35.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$28 @ 2.6¢
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Won
No$1.7k @ 63.7¢
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Lost
No$21 @ 18.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?Lost
No$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$19 @ 1.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	No	$644	41.6¢
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Politics	Yes	$202	51.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$111	36.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$50	8.0¢
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$50	8.7¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$20	3.8¢
Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$18	1.8¢
Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$15	2.0¢
Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$3	1.3¢
Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.2¢
Will Tamara Zieschang be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.0¢
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$1	1.2¢
Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.2¢

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
No$644 @ 41.6¢
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics
Yes$202 @ 51.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$111 @ 36.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$50 @ 8.0¢
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$50 @ 8.7¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$20 @ 3.8¢
Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$15 @ 2.0¢
Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Tamara Zieschang be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢