← Smart money
0x8815…438d
SharpEdge
+6.8pp
ROI
+63%
Win rate
23% @ 16.4¢
Brier
0.160
Resolved
649
Avg size
$17
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 23% (36/158) | +72% | 158 |
| Sports | 11% (1/9) | -81% | 9 |
| Politics | 33% (1/3) | +1% | 3 |
- Other158 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (36/158)
- ROI
- +72%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 11% (1/9)
- ROI
- -81%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +1%
Track record
22% hit · 38/170- Yes$74 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$259 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$33 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
- No$11 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$148 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$510 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$459 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
- No$43 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$22 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 29.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$153 @ 70.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
- Spurs vs. LakersLostLakers$5 @ 18.0¢
- No$25 @ 45.5¢
- Yes$149 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$114 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 9.0¢
- No$20 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$207 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 23.6¢
- Yes$88 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$215 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$266 @ 25.6¢
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen$20 @ 83.1¢
- Yes$74 @ 7.4¢
- No$51 @ 0.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | No | $595 | 17.3¢ |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $543 | 2.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Politics | No | $281 | 14.0¢ |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $106 | 12.5¢ |
- No$595 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$543 @ 2.0¢
- No$281 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$106 @ 12.5¢