0x87bf…3111

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x87bf94ad28ddf299bca77ef8fb2062481a543111
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

58% @ 47.7¢

Brier

0.122

Resolved

255

Avg size

$35

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (54/81)	+12%	81
Politics	60% (3/5)	+0%	5
Culture	67% (2/3)	+30%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	+23%	2

Other81 bets
Hit rate
67% (54/81)
ROI
+12%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+0%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+30%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+23%

Track record

66% hit · 60/91

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
GTA 6 launch postponed?	No	$45	58.6¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$245	38.9¢	Won
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	No	$44	75.2¢	Won
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?	No	$176	76.3¢	Won
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?	Yes	$99	70.1¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$187	62.3¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?	No	$18	88.9¢	Won
Trump trade deal in April?	No	$92	57.2¢	Won
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?	No	$50	83.0¢	Won
Georgescu banned from Romania election?	Yes	$146	82.7¢	Won
Will Trump not lower tariffs on any country by July 31?	Yes	$22	1.6¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$3	66.0¢	Won
Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?	No	$100	50.9¢	Won
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?	No	$6	55.0¢	Lost
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?	Yes	$63	69.3¢	Won
Negative GDP growth in 2025?	No	$2	30.0¢	Won
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$8	13.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$100	40.0¢	Lost
Will Trump impose no general tariff on the EU by June 30?	Yes	$227	35.0¢	Lost
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?	No	$79	79.0¢	Won
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?	No	$125	73.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?	No	$164	82.0¢	Won
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?	No	$75	45.0¢	Lost
Will Miami Heretics win DreamHack Major 2?	Yes	$3	2.8¢	Lost
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Riyadh Falcons	$20	23.0¢	Lost
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?	No	$53	88.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?	No	$120	60.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?	No	$62	41.0¢	Won
Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?	No	$50	46.3¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$224	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump lower tariffs on Israel next?	No	$151	30.1¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$128	85.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$151	52.1¢	Won
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$169	56.2¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$272	34.0¢	Lost
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$211	27.2¢	Lost
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?	No	$69	69.0¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	$68	33.8¢	Lost
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$72	48.0¢	Won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?	No	$19	63.7¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$84	60.2¢	Won
Biden seen in public by Friday?	No	$52	36.5¢	Lost
Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump lower tariffs on China next?	Yes	$7	6.0¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?	No	$18	89.0¢	Won
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$31	82.4¢	Won
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$79	78.6¢	Won
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	No	$472	73.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	$160	80.0¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	$120	83.0¢	Won

GTA 6 launch postponed?Lost
No$45 @ 58.6¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
No$245 @ 38.9¢
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Won
No$44 @ 75.2¢
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Won
No$176 @ 76.3¢
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Won
Yes$99 @ 70.1¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
No$187 @ 62.3¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Won
No$18 @ 88.9¢
Trump trade deal in April?Won
No$92 @ 57.2¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?Won
No$50 @ 83.0¢
Georgescu banned from Romania election?Won
Yes$146 @ 82.7¢
Will Trump not lower tariffs on any country by July 31?Lost
Yes$22 @ 1.6¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?Won
No$100 @ 50.9¢
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?Lost
No$6 @ 55.0¢
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?Won
Yes$63 @ 69.3¢
Negative GDP growth in 2025?Won
No$2 @ 30.0¢
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
Yes$8 @ 13.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump impose no general tariff on the EU by June 30?Lost
Yes$227 @ 35.0¢
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Won
No$79 @ 79.0¢
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Won
No$125 @ 73.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Won
No$164 @ 82.0¢
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Lost
No$75 @ 45.0¢
Will Miami Heretics win DreamHack Major 2?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 PlayoffsLost
Riyadh Falcons$20 @ 23.0¢
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?Won
No$53 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?Won
No$120 @ 60.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?Won
No$62 @ 41.0¢
Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?Won
No$50 @ 46.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$224 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on Israel next?Won
No$151 @ 30.1¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$128 @ 85.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
No$151 @ 52.1¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$169 @ 56.2¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$272 @ 34.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
Yes$211 @ 27.2¢
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?Won
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Lost
Spain$68 @ 33.8¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
No$72 @ 48.0¢
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?Won
No$19 @ 63.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$84 @ 60.2¢
Biden seen in public by Friday?Lost
No$52 @ 36.5¢
Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on China next?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Won
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
Yes$31 @ 82.4¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
No$79 @ 78.6¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Won
No$472 @ 73.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Won
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Won
No$120 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$303	89.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$295	91.5¢
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Politics	No	$290	95.8¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	No	$239	91.9¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Politics	No	$180	82.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	No	$170	85.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$156	91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$117	78.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$104	34.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$96	64.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$22	5.6¢

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$303 @ 89.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$295 @ 91.5¢
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics
No$290 @ 95.8¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
No$239 @ 91.9¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
No$180 @ 82.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$156 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$117 @ 78.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$104 @ 34.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$96 @ 64.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$22 @ 5.6¢