← Smart money
0x87ae…bc8e
ProfitableEdge
+9.3pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
53% @ 44.0¢
Brier
0.182
Resolved
165
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 54% (32/59) | +9% | 59 |
| Other | 57% (30/53) | +7% | 53 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | -30% | 6 |
| Science | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports59 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (32/59)
- ROI
- +9%
- Other53 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (30/53)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- -30%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
54% hit · 65/121- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- FC Barcelona$5 @ 76.0¢
- Under$5 @ 63.0¢
- FURIA$5 @ 80.0¢
- Kia Tigers$5 @ 63.3¢
- No$5 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
- Over$5 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
- Bryant$5 @ 47.0¢
- Remy Bertola$5 @ 69.6¢
- 1. FC Union Berlin$5 @ 57.0¢
- Oilers$10 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 70.0¢
- Under$3 @ 11.0¢
- Under$5 @ 48.0¢
- Timeo Trufelli$5 @ 56.0¢
- Boxiong Zhang$5 @ 82.0¢
- No$5 @ 77.0¢
- No$15 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
- Aurora Gaming$5 @ 62.0¢
- No$5 @ 67.0¢
- No$5 @ 41.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$5 @ 79.0¢
- Mika Brunold$10 @ 35.5¢
- West Indies$5 @ 25.7¢
- Steelers$5 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
- Over$10 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 59.0¢
- No$5 @ 52.0¢
- Bears$5 @ 48.0¢
- Penguins$5 @ 34.0¢
- Spirit$10 @ 0.1¢
- Team Liquid$5 @ 77.0¢
- No$5 @ 49.5¢
- No$5 @ 45.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 43.0¢
- Angelina Voloshchuk$5 @ 29.0¢
- Celia Cervino Ruiz$5 @ 72.0¢
- Belfast Wolves$5 @ 45.0¢
- BetBoom Team$5 @ 45.0¢
- Aurora Gaming$10 @ 45.5¢
- FURIA$10 @ 45.3¢
- Under$5 @ 49.0¢
- Mobis Phoebus$5 @ 77.0¢
- Columbia$20 @ 57.0¢
- Thiago Monteiro$10 @ 59.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Business | Yes | $15 | 64.0¢ |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Sports | No | $5 | 96.1¢ |
| Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno? | Politics | No | $5 | 77.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | Politics | No | $5 | 71.0¢ |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Culture | No | $5 | 46.1¢ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | Tech | Yes | $5 | 9.3¢ |
- Yes$15 @ 64.0¢
- No$5 @ 96.1¢
- No$5 @ 77.0¢
- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- No$5 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.3¢