0x8788…8aa8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x87884ab18aa4047b42049eb4c7756c4cfce68aa8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.8pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

4% @ 6.7¢

Brier

0.029

Resolved

1166

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	21% (24/112)	+26%	112
Sports	28% (8/29)	-84%	29
Politics	100% (29/29)	+0%	29

Other112 bets
Hit rate
21% (24/112)
ROI
+26%
Sports29 bets
Hit rate
28% (8/29)
ROI
-84%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
100% (29/29)
ROI
+0%

Track record

36% hit · 61/170

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillano	Sevillano	$1	23.0¢	Lost
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg	IlloJuan	$4	28.0¢	Lost
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX	Clersss	$4	10.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Yes	$2	59.0¢	Lost
Will Akshay Bhatia be the first round leader at the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	No	$1	99.8¢	Lost
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?	No	$1	86.0¢	Lost
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?	Yes	$2	93.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$56	50.0¢	Lost
Wings vs Fever	Fever	$1	75.0¢	Lost
Yankees vs. Marlins	Yankees	$1	96.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12?	No	$1	95.9¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$2	98.7¢	Lost
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRo	RoRo	$1	49.0¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?	No	$1	98.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 15?	Yes	$1	99.7¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on September 26?	No	$1	92.0¢	Lost
LoL: Geekay vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5)	Geekay	$1	80.0¢	Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	$1	98.6¢	Lost
Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás Mazza	Mazza	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to 116k on August 17?	No	$2	94.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$45	50.0¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?	No	$1	84.4¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?	No	$1	99.7¢	Lost
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?	Yes	$5	86.0¢	Lost
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$2	96.3¢	Lost
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?	Yes	$6	11.0¢	Lost
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	$1	99.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1?	No	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	$1	98.8¢	Lost
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?	No	$3	99.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?	No	$1	99.7¢	Lost
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?	No	$1	96.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4600 on August 14 at 5PM ET?	No	$2	85.0¢	Lost
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$1	96.4¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Rotten Tomatoes" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?	No	$1	98.0¢	Lost
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	$1	64.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?	Yes	$2	98.8¢	Lost
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$13	50.0¢	Lost
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?	Yes	$39	50.0¢	Lost
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 8?	No	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?	No	$1	92.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $117.4K on August 17 at 8PM ET?	Yes	$2	82.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?	Yes	$50	88.3¢	Lost
Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by September 28?	No	$1	4.9¢	Lost
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	$1	78.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost

La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana SevillanoLost
Sevillano$1 @ 23.0¢
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgLost
IlloJuan$4 @ 28.0¢
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MXLost
Clersss$4 @ 10.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Lost
Yes$2 @ 59.0¢
Will Akshay Bhatia be the first round leader at the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Lost
No$1 @ 99.8¢
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Lost
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?Lost
Yes$2 @ 93.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$56 @ 50.0¢
Wings vs FeverLost
Fever$1 @ 75.0¢
Yankees vs. MarlinsLost
Yankees$1 @ 96.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12?Lost
No$1 @ 95.9¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
No$2 @ 98.7¢
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRoLost
RoRo $1 @ 49.0¢
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Lost
No$1 @ 98.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 99.7¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on September 26?Lost
No$1 @ 92.0¢
LoL: Geekay vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5)Lost
Geekay$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Lost
No$1 @ 98.6¢
Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás MazzaLost
Mazza$1 @ 31.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to 116k on August 17?Lost
No$2 @ 94.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$45 @ 50.0¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?Lost
No$1 @ 84.4¢
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?Lost
No$1 @ 99.7¢
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Lost
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Lost
Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$2 @ 96.3¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Lost
No$1 @ 99.8¢
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1?Lost
No$1 @ 1.9¢
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
No$1 @ 98.8¢
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?Lost
No$3 @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?Lost
No$1 @ 99.7¢
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?Lost
No$1 @ 96.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4600 on August 14 at 5PM ET?Lost
No$2 @ 85.0¢
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$1 @ 96.4¢
Will anyone say "Rotten Tomatoes" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?Lost
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Lost
Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 98.8¢
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Lost
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Lost
Yes$39 @ 50.0¢
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 8?Lost
No$1 @ 1.5¢
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? Lost
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Bitcoin above $117.4K on August 17 at 8PM ET?Lost
Yes$2 @ 82.0¢
Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?Lost
Yes$50 @ 88.3¢
Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by September 28?Lost
No$1 @ 4.9¢
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Lost
Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	—	Yes	$56	50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	—	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	—	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?	—	Yes	$50	88.3¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$45	50.0¢
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?	—	Yes	$39	50.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$20	1.0¢
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	—	Yes	$13	50.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?	—	Yes	$6	11.0¢
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?	—	Yes	$5	86.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	34.0¢
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg	—	IlloJuan	$4	28.0¢
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Politics	No	$4	99.6¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	Economy	No	$4	96.6¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$4	99.5¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$4	98.0¢
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$4	99.7¢
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX	—	Clersss	$4	10.0¢
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$4	70.0¢
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.7¢
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Business	No	$3	99.8¢
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.9¢
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.9¢
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.8¢

Will the government shutdown end November 12?—
Yes$56 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?—
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?—
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?—
Yes$50 @ 88.3¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?—
Yes$45 @ 50.0¢
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?—
Yes$39 @ 50.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? —
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?—
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?—
Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg—
IlloJuan$4 @ 28.0¢
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics
No$4 @ 99.6¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy
No$4 @ 96.6¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$4 @ 99.5¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$4 @ 98.0¢
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$4 @ 99.7¢
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX—
Clersss$4 @ 10.0¢
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.7¢
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?Business
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.9¢
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.9¢
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.8¢